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The Miami Marlins (64-59) close out a 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers (74-47) Saturday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch for Game 2 is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET.
(Stats and records don’t include the first game of Saturday’s doubleheader)
Season series: Marlins lead 1-0
The Marlins secured an 11-3 victory over the Dodgers on Friday to snap a 2-game losing skid. Miami got home runs from OF Jorge Soler (2) 3B Jake Burger C Jacob Stallings and OF Jazz Chisholm Jr in Friday’s win.
Solo home runs by 2B Mookie Betts 3B Max Muncy and OF James Outman supplied the Dodgers’ 3 runs in the loss. Los Angeles had an 11-game win streak snapped Friday but it remains 10 1/2 games ahead of the San Francisco Giants atop the NL West.
Marlins at Dodgers projected starters
LHP Braxton Garrett vs. LHP Julio Urias
Garrett (7-3 3.91 ERA) makes his 24th start and 25th appearance. He has a 1.19 WHIP 1.5 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 122 IP.
- Last start: Win 5 IP 0 ER 4 H 2 BB 1 K in 5-1 home victory vs. Houston Astros Monday
- 2023 road stats: 4-1 2.68 ERA (57 IP 17 ER) over 11 starts
- Career vs. Dodgers: 0-0 9.00 ERA (3 IP 3 ER) in 1 relief appearance in 2021
Urias (10-6 4.35 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP 1.9 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 99 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win 7 IP 3 ER 4 H 0 BB 12 K in 8-3 win vs. Colorado Rockies Sunday
- 2023 home stats: 7-1 2.43 ERA (55 2/3 IP 15 ER) in 9 starts
- Career vs. Marlins: 2-1 4.70 ERA (15 1/3 IP 8 ER) in 3 starts
Marlins at Dodgers odds
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Dodgers -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-120) | Dodgers -1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Marlins at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 4 Marlins 3
Moneyline
While the Dodgers can bounce back after their 11-game win streak ended on Friday I’ll PASS on their money line in this contest at -200 odds.
Run line/Against the spread
MARLINS +1.5 (-120) is the play in this matchup as Garrett has been good on the road this season. The Marlins have either won or kept their game within 1 run in 7 of their last 10 contests.
Over/Under
Both teams are capable of excelling against left-handed pitching but I’ll lean toward the UNDER 8 (-110) in this game. Garrett has given up more than 2 earned runs in only 2 of his 11 road starts this season while Urias has allowed a combined 3 earned runs in his last 3 starts.
The Dodgers are also 2-7-1 to the Over in their last 10 games overall.