Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

SPORTSBOOKWIRE

The Boston Red Sox (63-58) and New York Yankees (60-61) kick off a 3-game series Friday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 p.m. ET.

Season series: Red Sox lead 5-1

The Red Sox lost 10-7 as -172 road favorites Thursday vs. the Washington Nationals losing the series 2-1 after winning the opener. The Red Sox are 6-4 in their last 10 games and 28-30 on the road.

New York lost 2-0 as a +176 road underdog Wednesday and were swept by the Atlanta Braves. They did not score in the last 2 games and were outscored 18-3 in the 3-game series. The Yankees have lost 5 straight games to fall below .500. New York is 2-8 in the last 10 games and 35-28 at home.

Red Sox at Yankees projected starters

RHP Brayan Bello vs. LHP Nestor Cortes

Bello (8-7 3.81 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.26 WHIP 2.4 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 113 1/3 innings.

Last outing: Loss 4 2/3 IP 4 ER 9 H 0 BB 5 K in a 6-2 home loss Saturday vs. Detroit Tigers
Career vs. New York: 1-2 1.44 ERA (25 IP 4 ER) 19 H 8 BB 21 K through 4 starts

The Yankees did not officially name a starter but Cortes (5-2 4.97 ERA) is likely to make his 13th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP 2.8 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 63 1/3 innings.

Last outing: No-decision 4 IP 1 H 1 ER 1 BB 8 K in 3-1 win to Houston Astros on Aug. 5
2023 home stats: 2-0 4.58 ERA in 7 games

Red Sox at Yankees odds

Moneyline (ML): Red Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Yankees -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+155) | Yankees +1.5 (-190)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 2 Yankees 1

Moneyline

LEAN RED SOX (-105).

The Red Sox are on a 4-game winning streak vs. the Yankees and are 2-1 in Bello’s last 3 starts vs. New York. The Yankees are only 1-5-2 in their last 8 series’ overall combining for 14 losses during that stretch. Boston is also the hotter team going 6-4 in their last 10 vs. New York’s 2-8 record.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like the Yankees to cover here but at +1.5 (-190) the line is far too rich bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-110).

The Under is 8-2 in Boston’s last 10 games and 6-1 in the last 7 Boston-New York matchups. The Under is also 3-1 in Bello’s last 4 starts overall and 3-0 in his last 3 starts vs. New York.