The moment a college football season ends, we started thinking about favorites for the next campaign. By the time spring practice is over, though, opinions about top contenders are pretty well-formed.
At this point, we can account for NFL departures, transfers—both incoming and outgoing—and freshmen. Rosters are mostly set.
And that means betting odds are generally settled too.
Odds are from DraftKings and accurate as of May 15. Each program included has +6000 ($100 bet wins $6,000) championship odds or better.
Tier 5: The Long Shots
Utah Utes (+6000)
Can the Utes finally win consistently on the road? That has been the obstacle keeping Utah out of the College Football Playoff. This season, the Utes travel to Baylor, Oregon State, USC and Washington. They should be a strong Pac-12 contender, but anything more feels wishful.
Verdict: Sell
Wisconsin Badgers (+6000)
The future of the program is fascinating, given the impending switch to a spread-heavy offense. This initial year, however, is loaded with change and makes Wisconsin tough to predict. The Badgers seem built for another nine-win type of season; the journey will simply look different.
Verdict: Sell
Oklahoma Sooners (+5000)
The purpose of a buy/sell argument is value. Do I personally believe in Oklahoma? Not really. However, the Sooners remain a high-end team in a reshuffled Big 12 thanks to quarterback Dillon Gabriel. Oklahoma, which avoids nemesis Kansas State, has a legitimate path to 5-0 before a clash with rival Texas. Win that game at Cotton Bowl Stadium in Dallas, and suddenly, the Sooners would be the league favorite—and their championship odds won't be more attractive.
Verdict: Buy
Texas A&M Aggies (+5000)
Other than the shortened 2020 season, Texas A&M has dropped four-plus games in every year under head coach Jimbo Fisher. What about a seven-loss 2022 campaign suggests we should be optimistic? The roster has talent, sure, but that's nothing new. Road trips to Miami, Tennessee, Ole Miss and LSU—along with the annual clash against Alabama—will be too much for A&M to overcome.
Verdict: Sell