England and France will go head-to-head for a spot in the semifinals of the World Cup. Here is our top World Cup pick for England-France.

Two of Europe’s top teams headline the quarterfinal stage in Qatar. This will be the third World Cup meeting between England and France, with the Three Lions winning both previous encounters. They have never faced each other in the knockout stages of the competition. 

France have only lost one of their last eight meetings with England across all competitions (five wins, two draws). The stars will be on show on Saturday, most notably this tournament’s top scorer Kylian Mbappe and the golden boot winner from Russia 2018, Harry Kane. 

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England are looking to win three consecutive World Cup matches for the first time since 1990. France are unbeaten in the 13 games that Mbappe has started in the World Cup and European Championships combined.

Here is our best England vs. France World Cup pick (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

 

England vs. France Odds Analysis

This is too close a match to call, even for the bookmakers. All sportsbooks have France as slight favorites. The moneyline is tight, with DraftKings, FanDuel, and Caesars pricing the French at +150. BetMGM have the lowest ML odds on the reigning champions at +135. England are as high as +200 at BetMGM and PointsBet. 

The spread is 0.5 with England the underdogs. DraftKings have the best price for the Three Lions ATS at -175. France are +150 ATS, but the value SU is just as good without having the goal to make up. 

England have only conceded two goals all tournament and kept clean sheets in each of their last three matches. France have been scored against in every game this World Cup. With the firepower on show in this match, the Over is the play on Saturday. The total is 2.5 goals with FanDuel offering the best price at +112. BetMGM is as low as +100, with others offering +105.