Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions

SPORTSBOOKWIRE

The Baltimore Orioles (87-51) and Los Angeles Angels (64-75) meet
Wednesday for the finale of a 3-game set. First pitch from Angel Stadium is slated for 9:38 p.m. ET.

Season series: Orioles lead 4-2

Baltimore has won the first 2 games of this series and has won 4 in a row overall. Since Aug. 18 the Orioles are 13-4 with a plus-57 run differential.

The Angels took a 3-2 lead into the 9th inning of Tuesday’s game. The Halos then traded 1 run for 2 in the 9th and would lose 5-4 in the 10th. Los Angeles is 13 games back of the final AL Wild Card spot.

Orioles at Angels projected starters

RHP Kyle Gibson vs. LHP Patrick Sandoval

Gibson (13-8 5.15 ERA) makes his 29th start. He owns a 1.34 WHIP 2.6 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 162 2/3 IP.

Last start: Loss 4 1/3 IP 7 ER 9 H 0 BB 2 K in 10-5 home loss vs. Chicago White Sox Thursday
2023 road stats: 7-4 4.75 ERA in 94 2/3 IP across 16 starts
Last 5 starts vs. Angels: 1-3 7.71 ERA in 25 2/3 IP (2018-22)

Sandoval (7-11 4.19 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.45 WHIP 4.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 126 2/3 IP.

Last start: Loss 3 2/3 IP 5 H 5 R 3 BB 3 K in 9-2 road loss at Oakland Athletics Friday
2023 home stats: 2-5 4.45 ERA in 58 2/3 IP across 10 starts
Two career starts vs. Orioles: 0-1 2.38 ERA in 11 1/3 IP (2021-22)
Has been touched up by a .389 batting average on balls in play in high-leverage situations

Orioles at Angels odds

Moneyline: Orioles -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Angels +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+120) | Angels +1.5 (-145)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Orioles at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 5 Angels 4

Moneyline

Tuesday’s Orioles-Angels match-up made for a tepid play — partial-unit and all on the home nine. Wednesday’s tilt figures as a mirror opposite — a very slight lean toward the visitors.

Sandoval is not in good form of late. He’s waked nearly 7 batters per 9 over his last 6 starts and he makes this start on 4 days of rest which is not exactly his preferred interval (.945 OPS allowed in 10 career starts on 4 days of rest).

Gibson’s recent clunkers have been fueled by way-out-of-bounds rates around the margins (.360 BABIP in his last 5 starts for example).

This figures as a way to get the better club at a slight discount. But again it’s a slight discount BACK THE ORIOLES (-140) on a partial-unit play.

Run line/Against the spread

In relative return the better Baltimore play is the one above PASS.

Over/Under

As with Tuesday’s affair the runs scored vs. expected swing both ways with these clubs. There are reasons both dinging and supporting both sides of this total PASS.