The New York Yankees (54-49) and Baltimore Orioles (63-40) play Game 2 of their 3-game series in Charm City Saturday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is slated for 7:15 p.m. ET.

Season series: Orioles lead 6-5

New York lost its 5th straight road game on Friday night to the Orioles 1-0. It has allowed 5 runs per game over that stretch and is 22-25 away from Yankee Stadium this season.

The Orioles won their 14th game in their last 20 after defeating the Yankees on Friday night. Baltimore is 20-10 in 1-run games after last night’s victory and 31-20 at Camden Yards this season.

Yankees at Orioles projected starters

RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. RHP Tyler Wells

Schmidt (6-6 4.33 ERA) will make his 21st start and 22nd appearance. He has a 1.32 WHIP 2.5 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 99 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Win 5 2/3 IP 3 ER 5 H 1 BB 2 K in 5-4 home victory vs. Kansas City Royals Friday
• 2023 vs. Orioles: 1-1 5.40 ERA (13 1/3 IP 8 ER) in 3 starts – Most recent: Win 5 IP 3 ER 5 H 0 BB 7 K in 8-4 home victory July 4
• 2023 away splits: 3-1 4.85 ERA (39 IP 21 ER) .273 OBA in 8 starts

Wells (7-5 3.65 ERA) will make his 20th start and 21st appearance. He has a 0.99 WHIP 2.4 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 111 innings.

• Last start: No-decision 4 1/3 IP 3 ER 1 H 4 BB 5 K in 5-3 victory at Tampa Bay Rays Sunday
• 2023 vs. Yankees: 0-1 5.82 ERA (17 IP 11 ER) in 3 starts – Most recent: No-decision 6 IP 2 ER 5 H 2 BB 4 K in 6-3 road loss July 3
• 2023 home splits: 4-4 3.26 ERA (58 IP 21 ER) .208 OBA in 10 starts

Yankees at Orioles odds

• Moneyline (ML): Yankees +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Orioles -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-185) | Orioles -1.5 (+150)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 7 Orioles 6

Moneyline

PASS.

I see this game as a dead heat. No clear advantage either way especially with the two starting pitchers. If you want to take +105 on the Yankees I won’t fault you but I’m going to pass.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Orioles could absolutely win this game by 2 runs but I don’t feel good about it. I’m not going to take the Yankees getting the 1 1/2 runs at -185 that’s just not a smart bet. I’m going to look to the total in this one.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9.5 (-105).

This game will be a shootout.

When you look at Schmidt’s last 5 starts the total runs scored has been 9 or more. He has given up 3 earned runs or more in 3 of his last 4 starts. Wells has allowed at least two earned runs in his last 9 starts.

These two teams are due for more runs after producing just one run combined on Friday night.