Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

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SPORTSBOOKWIRE

The Baltimore Orioles (65-41) and Toronto Blue Jays (59-48) play the 2nd game of a 4-game set Tuesday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET.

Season series: Orioles lead 6-1

The Orioles won 4-2 as +128 underdogs in the series opener Monday. Baltimore has won 3 of its last 4 contests and has a 1½-game lead over the Tampa Bay Rays in the AL East.

The Blue Jays have dropped back-to-back games after winning 5 of 6. Toronto is 3rd in the AL East 6½ games back of the Orioles.

Blue Jays LHP Hyun Jin Ryu will return from Tommy John surgery Tuesday and make his 1st start since June 2022.

Orioles at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Kyle Bradish vs. LHP Hyun Jin Ryu

Bradish (6-6 3.29 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP 2.3 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 104 innings.

  • Last start: Loss 6 2/3 IP 5 ER 7 H 2 BB 3 K in 6-4 loss at Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday
  • 2023 Road stats: 3-3 4.09 ERA (55 IP 25 ER) in 11 starts
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-3 5.59 ERA (29 IP 18 ER) in 6 starts
  • 2023 vs. Blue Jays: 0-1 7 IP 1 ER 4 H 0 BB 1 K in 1 start a 3-1 home loss June 14

Ryu (2-0 5.67 ERA in 2022) makes his 1st start. He had a 1.33 WHIP 1.3 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 in 27 innings in 2022.

  • Last start: No-decision 4 IP 3 ER 5 H 0 BB 4 K in 7-3 home win vs. Chicago White Sox June 1 2022
  • 2022 home stats: 1-0 7.27 ERA (17 1/3 IP 14 ER) in 4 starts
  • Career vs. Orioles: 5-1 4.35 ERA (49 2/3 IP 24 ER) in 9 starts – last faced Baltimore in 2021

Orioles at Blue Jays odds

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Blue Jays -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+155) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Orioles at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6 Blue Jays 5

Moneyline

It’s hard to trust Ryu coming off Tommy John Surgery and back-to-back poor seasons. However Bradish also hasn’t been great on the road this year.

I don’t love either side in this game but at least Baltimore has looked better than Toronto over the last few games.

LEAN ORIOLES (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

The Blue Jays should be able to keep this game close coming off back-to-back losses. While I do believe Toronto +1.5 (-190) will hit there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line.

PASS. Bet Baltimore ML and/or the total instead.

Over/Under

Ryu started the 2022 season by allowing 5 or more earned runs in back-to-back starts. We may see something similar Tuesday from the Blue Jays lefty who hasn’t started a game since June 2022.

Bradish has been inconsistent on the road this season and gave up 5 earned runs last time out.

BET OVER 8.5 (-115).

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