The Los Angeles Dodgers (44-35) take on the Colorado Rockies (32-50) in the finale of a 3-game set Thursday at Coors Field. First pitch is at 8:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Dodgers lead 3-1
The Dodgers were overpowered 9-8 Wednesday after taking the series opener 5-0 in a rare shutout at Coors Field. L.A. is just 9-11 over its last 20 games and sits in 3rd place 3 games out in the NL West. The Dodgers are 13-11 in the NL West and 20-20 on the road.
The Rockies have traded wins and losses over the last 6 games but they’re just 6-14 over the last 20. The 9 runs they scored Wednesday were the most they’ve plated since scoring 11 on May 28. The Rockies are now 19-21 at home but just 5-16 against divisional opponents.
Dodgers at Rockies projected starters
RHP Emmet Sheehan vs. RHP Chase Anderson
Sheehan (1-0 1.50 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.58 WHIP 3.0 BB/9 and a 5.3 K/9 over 12 IP.
- Last start: Win 6 IP 2 ER 3 H 2 BB 4 K on Friday against the Houston Astros
- Will be his first career road start and first career start against the Rockies
- Came up straight from the Texas League in Double-A which is considered a hitters’ league and had a 1.86 ERA over 53 1/3 innings across 10 starts and 2 relief appearances
Anderson (0-2 5.79 ERA) makes his 9th start and 11th appearance. He has a 1.45 WHIP 3.0 BB/9 and a 6.0 K/9 over 42 IP.
- Last start: Loss 2 2/3 IP 9 ER 10 H 2 BB 1 K on Saturday against Los Angeles Angels
- Last start vs. Dodgers: 5 IP 0 ER 1 H 2 BB 5 K in 2019
Dodgers at Rockies odds
Provided by BetMGM SportsbookUSA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub Lines last updated at 11:46 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Rockies +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -2.5 (+105) | Rockies +2.5 (-130)
- Over/Under (O/U): 12 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Dodgers at Rockies picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 9 Rockies 6
Moneyline
We had a good beat on Colorado Wednesday but I wasn’t comfortable enough to throw down on their ML. We would have had to sweat that one out as they went up 4-0 down 6-4 and almost gave it away late.
I’m not feeling the Rockies at all Thursday. Anderson has given up 16 ER in 5 2/3 IP over his last 2 starts. We truly don’t know what to expect from the rookie Sheehan in his first taste of Coors Field. He uses a fastball slider and changeup but he relies on the 96-mph heater 65% of the time. Opposing hitters are 0-for-23 off of it but the thin air will affect it.
I look for the Dodgers to take this one but I’m not paying -210 for it. Head to the Win/Total section and take DODGERS and OVER 7.5 (-135) at a more reasonable rate.
Run line/Against the spread
The Rockies scored the most runs they have in over a month Wednesday and they averaged just 3.67 runs per game in the previous 9 games. While the Dodgers have a wild-card rookie on the mound I can’t back the Rockies to keep it within 3 runs in the series finale Thursday. The Dodgers have also not given enough confidence this season to back them by 3. If the spread falls to -1.5 take the Dodgers.
Otherwise PASS.
Over/Under
The wind was blowing in pretty hard Wednesday and we still saw 17 runs cross the plate. The total is a half-run lower Thursday. Anderson has given up at least 7 in his last 2 starts and Sheehan will have to figure out how his stuff moves in the thin air on the fly.
I’ll LEAN OVER 12 (-105).
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