The Cincinnati Reds (42-38) finish a 3-game series with the Baltimore Orioles (48-30) Wednesday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is at 7:05 ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: tied 1-1
The Orioles and Reds appear to be the up-and-coming teams in the years to come after years of bottom-feeding. Cincinnati’s 3-1 victory Tuesday showcased a little pitching on both sides as Orioles RHP Tyler Wells tossed 6 innings with 2 earned runs and Reds LHP Andrew Abbott went 6 innings with 1 earned run. Cincinnati SS Matt McLain hit the go-ahead home run in the 6th and OF TJ Friedl hit an insurance solo shot in the 8th.
Reds at Orioles projected starters
RHP Luke Weaver vs. RHP Kyle Gibson
Weaver (1-2 6.86 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.59 WHIP 2.7 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 across 60 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision 3 1/3 IP 5 ER 7 H 1 B 3 K in an 11-10 home win vs. the Atlanta Braves Friday
- Is 0-0 with a 10.80 ERA in 16 2/3 IP over 4 starts in June
Gibson (8-5 4.30 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP 2.9 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 92 IP.
- Last start: Loss 3 IP 5 ER 7 H 3 BB 4 K in a 13-1 home loss vs. the Seattle Mariners Friday
- His June ERA stands at 5.75 through 4 starts after a solid 3.86 ERA across 6 starts in May
Reds at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM SportsbookUSA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub Lines last updated at 10:02 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Reds +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Orioles -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-130) | Orioles -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Reds at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 7 Orioles 5
Moneyline
Both of these teams have impressed this season and while there are reasons for the Orioles (-175) to be favorites there is more value in picking the Reds (+145).
The Reds are 21-18 on the road and 18-16 as underdogs on the road. They are also 15-2 in their last 17 road matches versus a right-handed pitcher per covers.com.
LEAN REDS (+145).
Run line/Against the spread
For those looking for a less risky bet the Reds have a phenomenal 26-13 road record against the spread. Cincinnati has the best ATS record in MLB off a victory with a 65.9% cover percentage. On the other hand Baltimore has a 14-15 ATS record as a home favorite.
BET REDS +1.5 (-130) if you’d like a little insurance.
Over/Under
Both teams trend toward the Over Wednesday despite combining for just 4 runs on Tuesday.
The Orioles have gone Over in 4 straight home games with a total between 9 and 10.5. The Reds have a nearly identical trend going Over in 4 of their last 5 road games when the total is between 9 and 10.5 runs.
BET OVER 9.5 (-110).
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