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The Tampa Bay Rays (51-23) and San Diego Padres (34-36) wrap up a 3-game set Sunday at Petco Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network).
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Rays lost 2-0 as +105 underdogs at the Padres Saturday. Tampa Bay has won 3 of 4 and has a 6-game lead in the AL East.
The Padres closed as -114 favorites in Saturday’s win. San Diego avoided its 3rd straight loss and is 4th in the NL West 8.5 games back of the division-leading Arizona Diamondbacks.
Rays at Padres projected starters
RHP Yonny Chirinos vs. RHP Joe Musgrove
Chirinos (3-1 2.35 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 10th appearance. He has a 0.94 WHIP 2.8 BB/9 and 4.0 K/9 in 38 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision 3 2/3 IP 2 H 1 BB 2 K as a reliever in a 2-1 loss at Oakland Athletics Tuesday
- First career start vs. Padres
Musgrove (4-2 4.37 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP 2.7 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 47 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win 6 IP 3 ER 7 H 1 BB 5 K in a 6-3 win vs. Cleveland Guardians Tuesday
- Career vs. Rays: 0-0 4.00 ERA (9 IP 4 ER) 7 H 1 HR 2 BB 8 K in 1 start and 1 relief appearance
Rays at Padres odds
- Moneyline (ML): Rays +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Padres -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-160) | Padres -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Rays at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 4 Rays 3
Moneyline
San Diego is 5-0 in its last 5 games after scoring 2 or fewer runs in its previous game. Tampa Bay is 1-4 in its last 4 interleague road games vs. right-handed starters and Musgrove has given up 3 runs or fewer in 4 straight starts.
BET PADRES (-145).
Run line/Against the spread
Two of Tampa Bay’s last 3 losses have been by just 1 run. Rays +1.5 (-160) will probably hit but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Padres ML is the better play. Bet San Diego ML and/or the total instead.
PASS.
Over/Under
The Under is 4-0-1 in Tampa Bay’s last 5 interleague games and 7-1-1 in its last 9 on the road.
The Under has gone 19-6-1 in San Diego’s last 26 home games and should hit again Sunday as Musgrove (2.12 ERA in June) continues to string together good starts.
BET UNDER 8.5(+100).