When Aaron Judge walks into the Yankees’ spring training complex’s clubhouse on Sunday morning amongst all of his teammates, it will be his first time doing so as captain.
Yankees position players report to camp Sunday for physicals ahead of the team’s first workout on Monday. All eyes will be on the team’s first official captain since Derek Jeter retired in 2014. Judge is coming off one of the greatest seasons in modern Major League Baseball history after hitting an American League record 62 home runs; posting an 11.4 fWAR season, the fourth-highest mark since 1957; and signing a nine-year, $360 million contract, giving him the highest average annual salary for a position player in MLB history.
The expectations Judge faces to live up to that contract and the captaincy title will be enormous, especially because the Yankees haven’t won a title since 2009 and he’ll be a large reason for whether it happens this year. Judge’s monstrous 2022 season will also likely be unfairly compared to whatever he does in 2023.
As an example, say Judge cuts his home run total from 2022 in half this season and hits 31 — well, only 18 players reached that number this past year. But only 31 homers would likely be a disappointment after 62. Judge had an MLB-best 131 RBIs. Cut that number down to 100 and just 13 players reached triple digits. Judge’s .425 on-base percentage is incomparable to everyone else in baseball, but even if it dipped to .375, only 11 reached that number. In nearly every offensive statistic for 2022, Judge had no competitor.
That makes it nearly impossible for Judge to have a comparable 2022 season and also a challenge to fairly measure what success could even look like for the reigning AL MVP in 2023. Different projection models predict another season that could see Judge holding the MVP at the end of the year. Yankees manager Aaron Boone was asked what he would consider a success for Judge this coming year.