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The Baltimore Orioles (79-73) and Boston Red Sox (72-80) swing into a 4-game series Monday at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Season series: Baltimore leads 8-7
Baltimore made a late-summer surge but is just 8-12 over its last 20 games. The Orioles have clocked a mere .654 OPS over those last 20 games.
The Red Sox are coming off being swept in a 4-game series at the New York Yankees and they have lost 5 in a row overall. A Boston club that banged out a .795 OPS from Sept. 10-20 has slashed a .203/.285/.360 (.644 OPS) over the losing skid.
Orioles at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Jordan Lyles vs. RHP Connor Seabold
Lyles (11-11 4.50 ERA) owns a 1.39 WHIP 2.6 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 170 IP across 30 starts.
- Has logged a 4.99 ERA over his last 7 starts
- Owns a 6.12 ERA across his last 5 starts vs. Boston
Seabold (0-3 10.47 ERA) is tabbed for his 5th start. He has a 2.20 WHIP 3.3 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 16 1/3 IP.
- A 23-year-old who made 3 starts for the Sox midsummer and then returned to the rotation Wednesday with 4 ER on 6 H over 5 IP at the Cincinnati Reds
- Has notched a 3.32 ERA and 1.13 WHIP this season at Triple-A
Orioles at Red Sox odds
Provided by USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub Lines last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Orioles +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Red Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-175) | Red Sox -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
Orioles at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 6 Orioles 4
Money line
Boston batters own an aggregate .839 OPS against Lyles and the Red Sox have the more rested bullpen heading into this series.
Keep a watch on Boston: it is worth some action at -130 or better but PASS until that price.
Run line/Against the spread
Similar to the calculation above and in play due to a likable high-total Over (which implies a potentially looser game) you should track the tag here: Boston -1.5 is worth a play at +145 or better.
PASS unless such a price becomes available.
Over/Under
Boston has had much success against Lyles. A double-digit breeze out to left-center field is in the forecast.
BACK THE OVER 9.5 (-115).
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