The Boston Red Sox (72-79) and New York Yankees (93-58) meet Sunday  at 7:08 p.m. ET (ESPN) to close out their 4-game series at Yankee Stadium.

Season series: New York leads 12-6

Boston has lost 4 straight games and is just 5-11 since Sept. 5. Against the Yanks the Red Sox have lost 5 in a row and they’ve allowed 5-plus runs in each of those setbacks.

The Yankees have shaken off some 2nd-half hitting woes to log a .967 OPS while winning 6 straight. And Yankee Stadium has given New York’s AL entry a lift in recent weeks. The Yanks are 13-2 in their last 15 games in the Bronx.

Red Sox at Yankees projected starters

RHP Brayan Bello vs. LHP Nestor Cortes

Bello (2-6 4.75 ERA) has appeared in 11 games making 9 starts. He has a 1.73 WHIP 4.4 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 47 1/3 IP.

• Faced the Yankees 2 starts back (Sept. 14) and allowed 3R (0 ER) on 6 hits and 1 BB (6K) in 5 IP
• Has a 2.80 ERA across his last 35 1/3 IP

Cortes (10-4 2.67 ERA) is tabbed for his 27th start. He has clocked a 0.97 WHIP 2.1 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 145 IP.

• Faced Boston (and Bello) on Sept. 14: allowed 1R on 3H in 5 IP with 2 BB and 7 K
• Owns a 2.25 ERA 0.90 WHIP over his last 4 starts
• Has held batters to a .701 OPS over his career; at Yankee Stadium he’s allowed a mere .648 OPS

Red Sox at Yankees odds

Provided by USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub Lines last updated at 11:27 a.m. ET.

• Money line: Red Sox +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Yankees -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-150) | Yankees -1.5 (+122)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4 Red Sox 3

Money line

Boston is a slight lean but with the streaks in play that lean is better leveraged on the Run Line.

Run line/Against the spread

Both teams play in more 1-run games than average. In Boston’s last 9 losses 5 have been by 1 run and 2 have been by 2 runs.

Figure the bullpens being heavily involved here. That’s less of a Yankee advantage than what shows in surface stats.

TAKE BOSTON +1.5 (-150). The price here isn’t terribly attractive: consider a partial-unit play unless the tag drops to -145 or better.

Over/Under

The team numbers for these teams would lean just slightly Under and that would be a reversal of what’s happened the first 3 games of this series (Over 3-0). But there is enough Over lean to Cortes and the Yankee bullpen on a breeze-out night at Yankee Stadium to make this view mixed.

PASS.

SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup