When you're looking back at a bracket, it's exciting to have predicted the national champion or picked each of the Final Four qualifiers. Identifying a Cinderella team, however, is a badge of honor.

As the 2022 men's NCAA tournament nears, a handful of programs are best positioned to potentially spring upsets.

All teams included hold no better than a No. 10 seed on the latest BracketMatrix update and are considered a mid-major program. Notably, that criteria excludes Colorado State, Boise State, Murray State, Wyoming, San Francisco and Loyola-Chicago.

Team performance relative to projected seed is also considered. Although the Pac-12 featured No. 11 UCLA (Final Four) and No. 12 Oregon State (Elite Eight) making surprising runs in 2021, our focus is mid-major programs and schools from traditional one-bid leagues—such as No. 15 Oral Roberts reaching the Sweet 16 last year.

Most of these programs need to win their conference tournament to earn a March Madness bid. If they do, though, they're built to provide a real challenge to the favorite.

Colgate Raiders

Last season, Colgate put a massive scare into Arkansas. In the first half, the Raiders jumped out to a 14-point lead before the SEC squad recovered for a comfortable win.

Colgate lost top scorer Jordan Burns but otherwise returned eight of its 10 rotation players. After an ugly 4-10 start to the campaign, the Raiders are approaching March on an absolute tear. They've won 14 of their past 15 games—and every victory has included a margin of eight points or more.

Oh, and they can shoot.

Boasting the nation's sixth-best three-point percentage, Colgate has five players averaging 2.9-plus triples per game. Four of them—Nick Cummings, Jack Ferguson, Ryan Moffatt and Oliver Lynch-Daniels—have connected at a rate of 37.4 or better.

Colgate has clinched the No. 1 seed in the Patriot League tournament and will need three victories to punch its ticket.

Davidson Wildcats

Two spots behind Colgate on the three-point leaderboard is Davidson, which has knocked down 39.1 percent of its long-range attempts. Don't give the Wildcats any space on the perimeter, either.

Davidson is content to search for its shot and ranks 321st nationally in adjusted tempo, according to KenPom. However, those longer possessions don't come at the expense of ball security; the methodical unit is an admirable 33rd in turnover rate.

Provided the Wildcats can navigate the Atlantic 10 tournament—which is far from a guarantee—they may be heavily matchup-dependent because of a pretty mediocre defense.