Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Author:
SPORTSBOOKWIRE

The Baltimore Orioles (79-73) and Boston Red Sox (72-80) swing into a 4-game series Monday at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Season series: Baltimore leads 8-7

Baltimore made a late-summer surge but is just 8-12 over its last 20 games. The Orioles have clocked a mere .654 OPS over those last 20 games.

The Red Sox are coming off being swept in a 4-game series at the New York Yankees and they have lost 5 in a row overall. A Boston club that banged out a .795 OPS from Sept. 10-20 has slashed a .203/.285/.360 (.644 OPS) over the losing skid.

Orioles at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Jordan Lyles vs. RHP Connor Seabold

Lyles (11-11 4.50 ERA) owns a 1.39 WHIP 2.6 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 170 IP across 30 starts.

  • Has logged a 4.99 ERA over his last 7 starts
  • Owns a 6.12 ERA across his last 5 starts vs. Boston

Seabold (0-3 10.47 ERA) is tabbed for his 5th start. He has a 2.20 WHIP 3.3 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 16 1/3 IP.

  • A 23-year-old who made 3 starts for the Sox midsummer and then returned to the rotation Wednesday with 4 ER on 6 H over 5 IP at the Cincinnati Reds
  • Has notched a 3.32 ERA and 1.13 WHIP this season at Triple-A

Orioles at Red Sox odds

Provided by USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub Lines last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Orioles +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Red Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-175) | Red Sox -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Orioles at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6 Orioles 4

Money line

Boston batters own an aggregate .839 OPS against Lyles and the Red Sox have the more rested bullpen heading into this series.

Keep a watch on Boston: it is worth some action at -130 or better but PASS until that price.

Run line/Against the spread

Similar to the calculation above and in play due to a likable high-total Over (which implies a potentially looser game) you should track the tag here: Boston -1.5 is worth a play at +145 or better.

PASS unless such a price becomes available.

Over/Under

Boston has had much success against Lyles. A double-digit breeze out to left-center field is in the forecast.

BACK THE OVER 9.5 (-115).

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