The Cincinnati Reds (2-9) and San Diego Padres (7-5) tangle in the middle game of a 3-game set at Petco Park Tuesday at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: San Diego leads 1-0 after a 4-1 victory in Monday’s opener.
Cincinnati is 0-7 with an OPS under-.600 across its last 7 games.
The Padres are 7-1 against the Reds the last two seasons (2021-22). The Friars have held Cincy to just 3.50 runs per game over that stretch.
Reds at Padres: Projected starters
LHP Reiver Sanmartin vs. RHP Joe Musgrove
Sanmartin (0-1, 6.14 ERA) makes his second start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 6.1 BB/9, and 4.9 K/9 through 7 1/3 IP.
- Allowed 5R on 8 base runners in 2 2/3-inning start April 8. Then clocked 5 shutout relief innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers Thursday.
- Appeared in 2 games (2R in 11 2/3 IP) in his 2021 debut season.
Musgrove (1-0, 1.42 ERA) is tabbed for his third start. He has a 0.71 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9, and 10.0 K/9 through 12 2/3 IP.
- Tossed 6 2/3 IP of shutout ball against the Atlanta Braves Thursday (0 BB, 6K).
- Cincinnati batters own a high-contact .804 OPS against him.
Reds at Padres odds and lines
- Money line: Reds +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Padres -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-130) | Padres -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
Reds at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 5, Padres 4
Money line
San Diego closer Taylor Rogers has pitched in the last 2 games and likely does not go in this one. And a couple other arms in the back end of the Padres bullpen may also be in rest mode.
The Reds’ lefty bats are a good weapon against Musgrove, who has had his trouble with Cincinnati in general. On a small-to-moderate lean, BACK CINCINNATI (+160).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS: the outright odds on Cincy are the better play.
Over/Under
Both clubs have faced exceptional pitching thus far, and both can expect some positive regression on offense. With this pitching match-up, its fair to assume Tuesday’s game being part of that regression.
TAKE THE OVER 7.5 (-107).