UCLA vs. Tennessee 2025 NCAA Tournament Second Round Pick

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Cade Phillips Tennessee Volunteers
Cade Phillips #12 of the Tennessee Volunteers and Dillon Bailey #2 of the Wofford Terriers battle for a rebound in the second half in the first round of the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament at Rupp Arena on March 20, 2025 in Lexington, Kentucky. Andy Lyons/Getty Images/AFP

After an underwhelming first two days of the NCAA Tournament, there should be more excitement with today’s slate of games in college basketball. I asked the AI Model for its favorite bets for the night slate. Here’s what it suggests for you to profit at the top-rated sportsbooks.

NCAAB Pick


UCLA Bruins vs. Tennessee Volunteers

Saturday, March 22, 2025 – 09:40 PM EDT at Rupp Arena


The AI Model believes Tennessee will earn a six-point win as a 5-point favorite. This is another game where the AI Model thinks the favorite will cover.  

Is UCLA Legitmate?

The UCLA Bruins took care of business against the Utah State Aggies in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. However, it might struggle a little more against Tennessee. After all, the Tennessee Volunteers rank third in the nation in defensive efficiency. They’ve also held teams to 28.2% from deep and 46.6% from inside the arc while adding 15.9% of blocks.

UCLA typically doesn’t get blocked very often. But that’s one key for UCLA to stick around in this game. The other is turnovers. UCLA has added 22.7% of turnovers per game defensively, but Tennessee has only allowed 15.8%.

Tennessee Can Dominate Inside

It’s unlikely Tennessee will give up a bunch of turnovers and make a lot of mistakes. Instead, it’s more likely the Vols dominate inside the arc.

UCLA has allowed opponents to hit 51.1% from inside the arc this season. Meanwhile, Tennessee has hit 54.3% from two-point range. They’ll have a field day around the rim and should end up with more rebounds. Beyond that, Tennessee usually gets to the foul line more often and should shoot a better percentage after the game is over.

The Pick

Give me the Vols at -5.

NCAAB Pick: Tennessee -5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook

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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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