Liberty vs. Oregon 2025 NCAA Tournament First Round Pick

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Darius McGhee Liberty Flames
Darius McGhee #2 of the Liberty Flames scores past Steven Crowl #22 of the Wisconsin Badgers during the second half in the second round of the NIT Men’s Basketball Tournament at Kohl Center on March 19, 2023 in Madison, Wisconsin. John Fisher/Getty Images/AFP

There were a few upsets in yesterday’s first round of the tournament. Before heading to the top-rated sportsbooks, let’s see what the AI Model thinks will happen on tonight’s second day of the first round.

NCAAB Pick


Liberty Flames vs. Oregon Ducks

Friday, March 21, 2025 – 10:10 PM ET at Climate Pledge Arena


The AI Model suggests Liberty and Oregon will add 140 points combined in tonight’s showdown. However, the total for this game is stuck at 139. The over is the play in this game.

Liberty Can Score!

The Liberty Flames are one of the best shooting teams in the nation. Liberty has added a 58.4% effective field goal percentage this season, which is second in college basketball. They’ve knocked down 39.5% from three and 57.7% from inside the arc while turning the ball over 15.3% of the time. Meanwhile, Oregon has been a slightly above-average defense but doesn’t stand out too much on that end of the floor.

The only thing holding back Liberty is the fact that the Flames have added just 18.9% of offensive rebounds and a 65.4% free throw rate. That could keep them from winning this game. Still, the terrific shooting should add many points on the board for Liberty.

Oregon Is Good Enough To Stick Around!

Liberty has held teams to a 45.9% effective field goal percentage and might be one of the most balanced teams in the country. That said, the Ducks get to the foul line more often and have hit 76.3% from the foul line. They’ve also drained 34% from downtown and 53% from inside the arc.

While Liberty has been very good at defending, you also have to remember Oregon will be one of the best teams it’ll face all year. The defense could take a slight decline.

The Pick

Consider the Over 139 in this game.

NCAAB Pick: Over 139 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook

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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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