The stage is set for the Big 12 Championship Game as the Iowa State Cyclones face off against the Arizona State Sun Devils on Saturday. Here’s our preview, which includes a prediction, using the best college football odds from the top sportsbooks.

NCAAF Pick: Arizona State -2.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)

Iowa State vs. Arizona State

Saturday, December 07, 2024 – 12:00 PM ET at AT&T Stadium

Iowa State’s Win Against Kansas State

The Cyclones made history with a 10-win season after defeating Kansas State 29-21 on Saturday. Rocco Becht accounted for three touchdowns, including two passing and one rushing, although his accuracy was a concern, completing just 13 of 35 passes for 137 yards. Abu Sama III added 81 rushing yards on 15 carries, while Jayden Higgins contributed a touchdown and 53 receiving yards.

Iowa State’s defense was pivotal, especially in the second half. A crucial goal-line stand and Darien Porter’s blocked field goal kept Kansas State at bay. Later, a safety caused by Jacob Ellis’ pressure turned the tide further in the Cyclones’ favor. With seven conference wins this season, Iowa State now prepares for its second Big 12 Championship Game appearance, the first since 2020.

Arizona State’s Dominance Over Arizona

The Sun Devils punched their ticket to the championship in emphatic fashion, dismantling Arizona 49-7 on Saturday. Cam Skattebo rushed for 177 yards and three touchdowns—all before halftime—while quarterback Sam Leavitt was nearly flawless, completing 17 of 22 passes for 291 yards and three touchdowns. Jordyn Tyson was a key contributor, hauling in eight catches for 143 yards and a score.

Arizona State built a 35-0 halftime lead and finished with a staggering 643 total yards. Their offense has looked unstoppable, mixing a bruising ground game with efficient passing.

Keys to the Game

Becht’s three touchdowns last week were key for Iowa State, but his 37% completion rate highlights inconsistency. Arizona State’s defense will look to exploit his struggles, forcing him into uncomfortable situations. If Becht can play efficiently and avoid turnovers, Iowa State may keep Arizona State’s offense off the field.

Skattebo’s 177-yard outing against Arizona was a clinic in power running. Iowa State’s defense, however, thrives under pressure, as shown by its ability to stonewall Kansas State in the red zone. The Cyclones must focus on limiting Skattebo’s impact early, as allowing him to dominate will give Arizona State control of the game’s tempo.

Iowa State’s ability to create game-changing plays, such as Porter’s blocked field goal and Ellis’ safety, adds an X-factor. Arizona State must avoid mistakes in special teams to keep the Cyclones from stealing crucial points or possessions.

Leavitt’s efficiency and Tyson’s big-play ability are hallmarks of Arizona State’s explosive attack. Meanwhile, Iowa State’s defense has proven adept at bending without breaking, forcing opponents into mistakes at key moments. The Cyclones must disrupt Leavitt’s timing to prevent the Sun Devils from piling on points quickly.

NCAAF Pick

This matchup features two teams with distinct strengths: Arizona State’s explosive, balanced offense against Iowa State’s gritty, opportunistic defense. The outcome will likely hinge on Iowa State’s ability to slow Skattebo and pressure Leavitt into mistakes.

However, Arizona State’s offense may be too balanced and efficient to contain for four quarters. While Iowa State’s defense will create some highlight moments, their offensive inconsistencies could leave them unable to capitalize.

NCAAF Pick: Arizona State -2.5 (-110) at Bet365

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