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Eight of the 10 1:00 and 4:00 games on Sunday have a total under 42.5 – I’m up for the challenge to find touchdown scorers. Let’s dive into our NFL Week 4 anytime touchdown scorer best bets, while you can also find out our experts’ NFL picks for EVERY game.
Steelers vs Colts anytime touchdown scorer pick: George Pickens (+235)
Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
George Pickens is looking to find the endzone for the first time this season as he and the Steelers travel to Indianapolis to take on the Colts and their pass defense that allowed Caleb Williams to throw for 363 yards and two touchdowns last week.
Pickens and Justin Fields have built an excellent connection throughout the season’s first three weeks. His 25% target share ranks in the top 20 in the league, with a team that runs the ball at the second-highest clip in the NFL. With backup running back Jaylen Warren unlikely to suit up, we could see a Steelers offense resort to Pickens a tad more than we’ve seen – especially with the lack of success the Steelers have had in the red zone as they’ve scored a touchdown in just 25% of their trips.
Commanders vs Cardinals anytime touchdown scorer pick: Marvin Harrison Jr. (+100)
Line available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Marvin Harrison Jr. presumes to be a popular play on Sunday against a woeful Washington Commanders secondary that has allowed the likes of Ja’Marr Chase, Malik Nabers, and Mike Evans to combine for five touchdowns in three weeks. Kyler Murray and Harrison are on the verge of building something special. Harrison commands a 25.6% target share and should see that rise as tight end Trey McBride is listed out – a 24.4% target share.
Broncos vs Jets anytime touchdown scorer pick: Braelon Allen (+200)
Line available at BetMGM Sportsbook at time of publishing.
The New Jets backfield is going to be loaded for years to come. Breece Hall has already established himself as one of the best running backs in the league, but it’s rookie Braelon Allen who I’m eyeing on Sunday.
The Jets dominated the time of possession against the New England Patriots last Thursday Night 40/20. This resulted in Allen getting a career-high 11 carries, including a red zone attempt. The Jets come in as 7.5-point home favorites against a Broncos defense that has been gashed by the run game. Garrett Wilson will have Patrick Surtain shadowing him all game, which should have Aaron Rodgers cautious throwing that way. If the Jets can build a 2+ possession lead like last week, look for Allen to get extensive work.