Marlins vs. Giants MLB Computer Pick: Expect Runs in SF

Author:
Oddstrader
Luis Arraez Miami Marlins Nick Ahmed San Francisco Giants
Luis Arraez #3 of the Miami Marlins tags out Nick Ahmed #16 of the San Francisco Giants. Rich Storry/Getty Images/AFP

We’ve got another massive slate of games in the MLB tonight. With our computers‘ help, we’ve delivered our favorite three bets of the night. Here’s one of three you’ll want to consider to begin the weekend right, with the best MLB odds we could find at top sportsbooks.

The AI Model believes the Marlins and Giants will combine for 7.9 runs. That’s almost a full run more than Caesars’ total of 7. The Over has the best value in this matchup.

For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:

MLB Pick: Over 7 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook


Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants

Friday, August 30, 2024 – 10:15 PM ET at Oracle Park


San Francisco’s Power

The San Francisco Giants have combined to hit a .183 ISO against righties over the last month. The projected lineup has seven batters that have hit at least a .158 ISO over the previous month against righties.

That’s ideal with a matchup against Miami’s Adam Oller. Oller has allowed a .211 ISO and wOBA of .326 to his last 46 batters. He’s also given up 50% of hard contact and 50% of fly balls.

Once the Giants connect, they’ll be hitting bullets against Oller.

Miami Can Scratch Out Runs

Don’t expect Miami to dominate Blake Snell. However, Snell has walked 12.7% of his last 118 batters and has allowed nearly 26% of line drives and 26% of fly balls over the previous month.

He’s a high strikeout pitcher who should still get a high rate tonight. But there are times when Snell gets in trouble with his walks and then allows a run or two.

That’s all the Marlins would need to help hit the Over with Oller on the mound opposite of Snell.

MLB Computer Pick

Let’s take the Over 7, even with Blake Snell on the mound for the Giants.

MLB Pick: Over 7 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)

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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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