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Happy Thanksgiving, Pickswise Nation! Turkey Day wraps up with an interesting NFC West matchup on NFL Thursday Night Football as the San Francisco 49ers travel north to take on the Seattle Seahawks. After a 3-game skid, the 49ers seem to be back on track and cruising to a division win. However, Seattle remains just 1 win behind and can put the pressure on the home stretch with victory here.
Let’s get into my 49ers vs Seahawks Same Game Parlay for this TNF matchup, which gets underway at 8:15 pm ET on Amazon Prime. I cashed my TNF Bengals vs Ravens Same Game Parlay last week at +982 odds, so let’s make it 2 in a row!
49ers -9.5 alternate spread (+130)
Brock Purdy under 266.5 passing & rushing yards (-110)
Christian McCaffrey over 33.5 receiving yards (-110)
A good way to get a nice boost on SGPs is to combine contradictory legs. That paid off for us last week in taking Ja’Marr Chase to score a touchdown and go under his receiving yards line, and it’ll be a similar strategy this week. Parlaying Brock Purdy to go under his passing and rushing yards line with a dominant 49ers win and a decent day through the air for Christian McCaffrey gets us solid (and boosted!) +1025 odds, when in fact I don’t believe there’s any reason why all 3 legs can’t easily cash. Let’s get into it.
San Francisco 49ers -9.5 alternate spread over Seattle Seahawks (+130)
To kick off this Same Game Parlay, I’m taking the 49ers to win by double digits. San Francisco has been firmly back in business since losing those 3 games, crushing the Jaguars 34-3 before seeing off the Buccaneers 27-14. Of their 7 wins this season, 6 have been by at least 13 points and I like them to record another comprehensive victory against their division rival. San Francisco has the most passing yards per attempt in the NFL (and leads 2nd-placed Miami by an entire yard) and should be motivated to flex its muscles to take full control of the NFC West. Seahawks quarterback Geno Smith is already nursing a triceps injury and on a short week you have to think that he won’t be 100% even if he does suit up. The 49ers have allowed the 6th-fewest passing yards per attempt and should be able to negate any impact Seattle has through the air. All things considered, I’m expecting a comfortable win for the 49ers.
Brock Purdy under 266.5 passing & rushing yards (-110)
This may seem like a surprising play to add to this SGP, given what was just highlighted above and the fact that Purdy has gone over this number in his last 4 games in passing yards alone. But hear me out. The Seahawks have allowed only 1 quarterback to go over this line in their last 7 games, despite coming up against Joe Burrow, Lamar Jackson and Matthew Stafford. In addition, they rank inside the top 10 in terms of passing yards allowed per attempt, so the defense should have some success in keeping Purdy in check. The signal-caller has been using his legs more frequently of late, but has had fairly limited success as a scrambler outside of 1 game against the Bengals. As a result, I’m happy to get the extra yards in this market to create a stronger cushion for this under.
Christian McCaffrey over 33.5 receiving yards (-110)
To close out this 49ers vs Seahawks Same Game Parlay, I’m taking Christian McCaffrey to have a decent day as a pass-catcher. Again, this does conflict with the Purdy pick, but the number is low enough for me to feel confident that both legs can hit. McCaffrey has gone over this line in 3 of his last 4 games and is getting tons of targets from Purdy (10 against the Jaguars 2 weeks ago), so he should have plenty of opportunities to rack up the yards. With at least 5 receptions in his last 3 games, McCaffrey’s involvement in the passing game is growing and that should result in the star running back tallying up plenty of yards.