ALCS Game 6: Texas Rangers at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

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Analyzing Sunday’s Texas Rangers at Houston Astros ALCS Game 6 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Texas Rangers and the Houston Astros play Game 6 of the best-of-7 American League Championship Series Sunday. First pitch from Minute Maid Park is scheduled for 8:03 p.m. ET (FS1). ALCS: Astros lead 3-2

The Astros went to Arlington for the past 3 games, and Houston won them all. Perhaps the most amazing win was Game 5, as the Astros were down 4-2 heading to the top of the 9th inning. Diminutive 2B Jose Altuveswatted a 3-run, go-ahead homer off of RP Jose Leclerc, killing Rangers moneyline bettors and Under (8.5) bettors in one fell swoop.

The Rangers opened this series with 2 straight wins in Houston to seize home-field advantage, but apparently nobody wants that. The Astros won 3 in a row in Arlington, and the home team is 0-5 in this series. The underdog is also 5-for-5 straight up and on the run line. The Over has cashed in 4 straight in the series.

Rangers at Astros projected starters

RHP Nathan Eovaldi vs. LHP Framber Valdez

Eovaldi made 25 starts in the regular season, going 12-5 with a 3.63 ERA. He had a 1.14 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 over 144 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H (2 HR), 1 BB, 9 K in 5-4 road win vs. Texas Rangers in Game 2 of the ALCS last Monday
  • 2023 road splits: 6-2, 3.56 ERA (78 1/3 IP, 31 ER), 6 HR in 13 starts
  • Making his 10th career postseason start and 15th overall appearance

Valdez was 12-11 with a 3.45 ERA across 31 regular-season starts. He had a 1.13 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 198 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 2 2/3 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 5-4 home loss vs. the Texas Rangers in Game 2 of the ALCS last Monday
  • 2023 home splits: 4-8, 3.35 ERA (102 IP, 38 ER), 7 HR in 16 starts in the regular season
  • Making his 15th career postseason start and 16th overall appearance
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