The Houston Astros and Minnesota Twins play Game 3 of an AL Division Series Tuesday. First pitch from Target Field is set for 4:07 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

ALDS Series: tied 1-1

The Astros lost 6-2 as -128 home favorites as the Over (7.5) hit in the 2nd game of the series Sunday. LF Yordan Álvarez hit a 2-run shot in the 8th inning — his 3rd HR of the series.

Twins SS Carlos Correa finished with 3 hits and 3 RBIs vs. his former team. Minnesota 3B Kyle Farmer hit a 2-run HR in the 2nd inning, and the Twins won their 1st playoff road game since the 2004 ALDS.

Astros at Twins projected starters

RHP Cristian Javier vs. RHP Sonny Gray

Javier made 31 starts in the regular season, going 10-5 with a 4.56 ERA. He had a 1.27 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 162 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 8-1 victory at Arizona Diamondbacks on Oct. 1
• 2023 road stats: 5-3, 5.17 ERA (94 IP, 54 ER) in 18 starts
• Postseason career vs. Twins: Win, 3 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 2 BB, 2 K in relief during 3-1 road victory Sept. 30, 2020

Gray was 8-8 with a 2.79 ERA across 32 regular season starts. He had a 1.15 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 184 innings.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 2-0 home victory vs. Toronto Blue Jays on Wednesday
• 2023 home stats (regular season): 4-5, 2.67 ERA (97 2/3 IP, 29 ER) in 17 starts
• Postseason career vs. Astros: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 R (1 ER), 1 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 1 start, a 6-4 home victory with New York Yankees on Oct. 17, 2017