Texas Rangers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions


The Texas Rangers (75-57) and New York Mets (60-73) meet Wednesday at 6:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network) as they close out a 3-game set at Citi Field.

Season series: Texas leads 2-0

The Rangers have taken the 1st 2 games of a series that has thus far been dominated by pitching and defense. Just 10 total runs were scored over Monday’s and Tuesday’s games.

The Mets are just 1-6 over their last 7 games. Over that stretch a scuffling New York offense has tallied just 13 runs on a .560 OPS.

Rangers at Mets projected starters

RHP Dane Dunning vs. RHP Denyi Reyes

Dunning (9-6 3.36 ERA) is tabbed for his 21st start and 28th appearance this season. He owns a 1.21 WHIP 2.7 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 136 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision 4 IP 5 H 4 R 6 BB 6 K in a 12-2 loss at Minnesota Twins Friday
  • 2023 road stats: 3-4 3.33 ERA in 7 1/3 IP in 15 games (11 starts)
  • Has never faced the Mets as a starter
  • Owns a 478 ERA over his last 7 starts

Reyes (0-2 7.5 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 8th appearance. He has a 1.92 WHIP 5.25 BB/9 and 9 K/9 in 12 innings.

  • Last start: Loss  4 2/3 IP 8 H 5 R 4 BB 4 K in 21-3 home loss the Atlanta Braves Aug. 12
  • 2023 home stats: 0-2 11.25 ERA in 8 IP in 4 games (2 starts)
  • Has never faced the Rangers as a starter
  • Being called up from Triple-A Syracuse for this turn. Owns 5.80 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 76 IP at Triple-A.

Rangers at Mets odds

  • Moneyline: Rangers -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Mets +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers -1.5 (+105) | Mets +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Rangers at Mets picks and predictions


Rangers 4 Mets 3


No leverage on either side here: PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Reyes has allowed too much barreled-up contact in his limited action but he’s also been undone by a .389 batting average on balls in play.

The Rangers offense figures as being out too far over its skis. And the back end of the Texas bullpen may be a tad compromised by fatigue if they are trying to close out a close game.

The Mets play in a lot of 1-run games BET NEW YORK +1.5 (-125).


What has been an Under lean in games 1 and 2 gets enough pushback the other way for game 3: not a good enough return some fade-Dunning lean and a more fatigued Texas bullpen play in call


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