Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

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The Atlanta Braves (84-44) and San Francisco Giants (66-63) close out a 3-game set at Oracle Park Sunday. First pitch is at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN).

Season series: Atlanta leads 4-1

The Braves have dominated this series with a 7-3 victory Saturday and a 5-1 victory Friday. They’ve won 4 games in a row and are 8-2 over their last 10. Atlanta is the best team in baseball and is a hard battle each night.

The Giants have lost 4 of 5 and are just 6-14 over their last 20 games. They’ve fallen 1 1/2 games out of the final NL Wild Card spot. Not only do they have to face the buzzsaw that is Atlanta but they’re going to have to do it with a bullpen game.

Braves at Giants projected starters

LHP Jared Shuster vs. RHP Tristan Beck

Shuster (4-2 5.00 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP 4.4 BB/9 and 5.0 K/9 through 45 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision 3 2/3 IP 4 ER 7 H 0 BB 2 K June 24 against the Cincinnati Reds
  • Is also 4-5 with a 5.77 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 13 starts at Triple-A Gwinnett in 2023

Beck (3-2 3.34 ERA) makes his 1st start and 29th appearance. He has a 1.16 WHIP 2.4 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 67 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: 1 IP 0 ER 0 H 2 BB 3 K with 25 pitches Wednesday against the Philadelphia Phillies
  • Home/road splits: 3-1 4.33 ERA 1.50 WHIP 6.6 K/9 in 35 1/3 IP at home vs. 0-1 2.25 ERA 0.78 WHIP 8.7 K/9 on road

Braves at Giants odds

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Giants +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+135) | Giants +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Braves at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 7 Giants 4

Moneyline

The Giants had to use a bullpen game Saturday and went through 5 pitchers to cover all 9 innings. So it’ll be an uphill battle. The Giants are 20-14 against left-handed pitchers but I just haven’t seen the kind of urgency from this team in order to side with them in this pick ’em.

Take the BRAVES (-120).

Run line/Against the spread

The Braves have cruised this weekend and are 34-28 on the RL on the road. They are 7-3 in the last 10 against the Giants. However the ML is at such a solid price I think we should stick with it.

PASS.

Over/Under

The Over is just 3-7 over the last 10 meetings between the teams and both teams are 3-7 O/U over their previous 10 games as well but this one has an Over feel.

The Giants’ pen is taxed and the Braves are bringing up someone that hasn’t started in the majors in 2 months. The Over cashed Saturday and I’m willing to LEAN OVER 9.5 (-115).

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