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The Boston Red Sox (37-35) open a 7-game road trip on Monday with 4 games against the Minnesota Twins (36-36). First pitch from Target Field is at 7:40 p.m. ET.
Season series: Red Sox lead 2-1
The Red Sox finished their recent homestand 4-2 winning the final 4 games. They completed a 3-game sweep of the New York Yankees on Sunday with a 4-1 win.
The Twins have played 6 games of their 10-game homestand going 3-3 so far. With a 6-4 loss in the series finale on Sunday they lost 3 of 4 games to the Detroit Tigers.
Red Sox at Twins projected starters
LHP James Paxton vs. RHP Pablo Lopez
Paxton (2-1 3.09 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP 2.8 BB/9 and 12.4 K/9 in 32 innings.
- Last start: No-decision 6 IP 1 R (0 ER) 4 H 1 BB 8 K in 4-3 home loss to Colorado Rockies last Monday
- Allowed 2 or fewer runs in 5 of 6 starts
Lopez (3-3 4.27 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP 2.5 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 84 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision 6 IP 3 ER 4 H 1 BB 9 K in 7-5 home win over Milwaukee Brewers on Tuesday
- Twins have won 3 of his last 4 starts
Red Sox at Twins odds
- Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Twins -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-165) | Twins -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Red Sox at Twins picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 6 Twins 5
Moneyline
The Red Sox have won 4 in a row and went 3-3 on their last road trip. The Twins are 5-9 in their last 14 games and lost 3 of 4 to the 30-40 Detroit Tigers. Also Paxton has allowed 4 total runs in his last 3 starts (18 IP).
BET RED SOX (+120).
Run line/Against the spread
The Red Sox are 37-35 ATS overall this season and the Twins are 36-36 ATS both matching their overall win-loss records.
Boston though is 24-18 ATS as the underdog. They have won 3 of the last 4 games outright in which they were the underdog which is why the moneyline bet on Boston makes sense.
PASS.
Over/Under
Six of the Twins’ last 8 games have had totals of 8 or more runs while 4 of the last 5 for Boston have as well. All 3 games between the 2 teams this season have hit the Over.
BET OVER 8 (-115).