The Arizona Diamondbacks (40-25) open a 7-game homestand Monday with the first of 4 games against the Philadelphia Phillies (32-33) First pitch from Chase Field is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Diamondbacks lead 2-1
The Phillies have won 7 of their last 8 games including 2 of 3 against the Los Angeles Dodgers from Friday-Sunday. Philadelphia closed out a 5-1 homestand with a 7-3 win on Sunday.
The Diamondbacks rallied from 3 runs down on Sunday for a 7-5 victory as they completed a 3-game road sweep of the Detroit Tigers. Arizona is riding a 5-game win streak and has won 11 of its last 13 contests.
Phillies at Diamondbacks projected starters
LHP Matt Strahm vs. LHP Tommy Henry
Strahm (4-3 3.61 ERA) makes his 9th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.04 WHIP 2.6 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 through 42 1/3 IP.
- Has 8 bullpen appearances and 2 opener starts since May 7
- Has a 4.02 ERA along those 10 appearances
Henry (3-1 4.37 ERA) makes his 9th start and 10th appearance. He has a 1.30 WHIP 3.8 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 through 45 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision 4 1/3 IP 5 ER 5 H 3 BB 2 K in a 10-5 road win over the Washington Nationals Tuesday
- The Diamondbacks are 6-2 in Henry’s starts in 2023
Phillies at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM SportsbookUSA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub Lines last updated at 11:24 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Phillies -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+135) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Phillies at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Diamondbacks 7 Phillies 6
Both teams come into the series red-hot with the Phillies having won 7 of their last 8 games and the Diamondbacks having won 5 in a row and 11 of their last 13.
But Philadelphia is 13-22 on the road this season going 4-6 and 6-10 in its last 10 and 16 road games respectively.
Arizona is 6-2 in Henry’s starts.
BET DIAMONDBACKS (-105).
The Diamondbacks are 40-25 ATS overall the 2nd-best mark in the majors this season.
The Phillies are 25-40 ATS the 3rd-worst mark in the majors.
However the better play is the Diamondbacks straight up on the moneyline.
The Diamondbacks are averaging 5.8 runs per game over their last 13 games and 7.8 during their win streak.
Four of Henry’s 8 starts have had totals of 10 or more runs.
Four of the Phillies’ last 9 games have had 10 or more runs.
BET OVER 10 (-110).