NBA Finals Game 4: Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat best prop bet picks and predictions


The Denver Nuggets and Miami Heat square off in Game 4 of the NBA Finals Friday at Kaseya Center. Nuggets lead series 2-1. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC).

The Nuggets slipped up in Game 2, losing home-court advantage to the Heat in the process. However, Denver pasted Miami 109-94 on the road in Game 3 on Wednesday as it seized back the advantage.

Denver C Nikola Jokic continued his amazing play, going for a triple-double with 32 points (12-of-21 from the field), 21 rebounds and 10 assists along with 2 blocked shots. The ‘Blue Arrow’, G Jamal Murray, added 34 points with 10 rebounds and 10 assists while hitting 12-of-22 from the floor, including 3 triples.

Jokic and Murray were the first teammates in NBA Finals history to each record triple-doubles. Jokic’s game with 30+ points, 20+ boards and 10+ dimes was the first game of its kind in NBA Finals history, too.

Miami F Bam Adebayo had a giant stat line too, going for 22 points with 17 rebounds, while F Jimmy Butler registered team-high 28 points. As a result, there are a lot of intriguing props to play for Game 4.

Game 4: Best Nuggets at Heat prop bet picks

Nuggets C Nikola Jokic Player Alt Points + Rebounds + Assists: OVER 53.5 (-136)

Why not start with the top dog? ‘Joker’ had an absolutely ridiculous stat line, combining for 32 points, 21 rebounds and 10 assists in 44 minutes in Game 3. However, if you were playing this prop in the last game, you cashed with plenty of comfort.

Playing Jokic’s points + assists would have been a total of 42, which would cash that prop by just a half-point. You want to make sure you also play a prop which includes rebounds, as that’s a big part of Jokic’s game.

The star pivot is averaging 33.3 PPG, 14.0 RPG and 9.3 APG in the 3 games of this series so far, posting 2 triple-doubles and 3 double-doubles. He wasn’t a giant passer in Game 2, but he would have cashed the Over at this number in each of the past 2 in this series.

Heat PG Gabe Vincent steals: OVER 0.5 (-180)

This is my personal limit for a singular bet. If you’re able to toss the Vincent Steals Over into a parlay, that would be a much better play.

Vincent was good for a pair of steals in Game 3, and he also had 2 steals in Game 2 in Denver. He is averaging 1.3 SPG in the NBA Finals, and he picked up a steal in 12 of the past 18 postseason games.

Nuggets SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Alt Points + Rebounds: Over 9.5 (-168)

Caldwell-Pope has been consistent in these NBA Finals, going for 6 or more points and posting exactly 3 rebounds in each outing against the Heat so far.

This is a safe bet, as we know what to expect from KCP. He has been off with his shot in the past 2 games, hitting just 2-of-8 from the field, but he has gotten to the free-throw stripe 7 times in the past 2 outings, making all of his attempts. This will be a nail-biter prop which goes down to the end, so be prepared.

Heat C Bam Adebayo Alt Points + Rebounds + Assists: Over 39.5 (+200)

Adebayo is a tremendous value at this price, as you have a chance to double up if he combines for 40 total points, rebounds and assists.

So far in this series, Adebayo has been playing out of his mind, posting 21 or more points in each outing, going for 23.0 PPG, 13.0 RPG and 4.0 APG, which is exactly the target number of 40 for this cash to prop. He simply needs to keep hitting his averages for the win.

Denver Nuggets Total Points: Over 106.5 (-115)

The Nuggets went Under this total in Game 1 at home, going for just 104 points. However, Denver cashed in both Games 2 and 3, going for 108 and 109 points.

I love Over bets. There is a lot less sweating, and once you’re Over, you can just kick back and relax the rest of the game.

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