The Vegas Golden Knights and the Edmonton Oilers meet in game four of their Western Conference semi-final series in NHL action from Rogers Place on Wednesday night. Let’s dive into the odds, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

Edmonton is a -190 home favorite while Vegas is a +165 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 7 goals.

Matchup History

Vegas’ 5-1 win over the Oilers in game three made it six straight head-to-head meetings between these two teams without back-to-back winners.

Trends

Vegas is 4-0 in their last 4 road games and 5-1 in their last 6 division games while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 conference semifinal games. Edmonton is 11-3 in their last 14 home games and 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss by 3 or more goals while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games after allowing 5 or more goals in the previous game.

Pick

I’m rolling with Vegas here. I get why Edmonton’s favored at home, but the goaltending continues to be inconsistent for the Oilers and there’s only so much the offense can do. Vegas doesn’t get the credit they deserve for how well they played on the road this season and I think this is a spot where we could actually get some solid value with the Golden Knights.