The Edmonton Oilers and the Vegas Golden Knights meet in game one of their Western Conference semi-final series in NHL action from the T-Mobile Arena on Wednesday night. Let’s dive into the odds, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

Edmonton is a -120 road favorite while Vegas is a +100 home underdog. The total for this game is set at 6.5 goals.

Matchup History

Edmonton’s 7-4 win back on March 28^th, 2023, made it six wins in the last eight head-to-head meetings for the Oilers in this matchup.

Trends

Edmonton is 4-0 in their last 4 Wednesday games and 4-0 in their last 4 conference semifinal games while the under is 2-0-2 in their last 4 Wednesday games. Vegas is 13-3 in their last 16 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 5-1 in their last 6 home games while the over is 6-1 in their last 7 games when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in the previous game.

Pick

I’m going to back the over here. I haven’t been overly fond of the goaltending on either side up to this point in the series, and I’m not going to start all of a sudden here. The Oilers are a solid group with a lot of offensive firepower, but so is Vegas and 3 of the 4 meetings this season went over and all four meetings had at least 7 goals. Give me the over here.