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The Jets will have options at quarterback this offseason. But if they don’t wind up with one of their top targets, many will view their QB quest as a failure.
Jets owner Woody Johnson said after the season that he “absolutely” was willing to spend what it takes to find an upgrade at quarterback. Realistically, there are four top options who truly move the needle for the Jets — and maybe only two who would truly excite a fan base desperate for quarterback competency.
Unless someone unexpected — like Lamar Jackson, Geno Smith or Daniel Jones — breaks free, expect the Jets’ search for a quarterback to end with one of four veteran options.
That’s the focus in Part 2 of our ranking of who the Jets are most likely to end up with at quarterback, from least likely to most. This is NOT a ranking of their best options, or a prediction of who they will get. (Part 1 ranked their 20 likeliest options.)
Note: EPA (expected points added) per dropback is according to TruMedia, while QBR is adjusted quarterback rating, as calculated by ESPN.
4. Ryan Tannehill
If the Jets wind up with Tannehill, it probably means they struck out with the other options in this group. That’s possible, considering how many teams need quarterbacks this offseason. If the Titans are ready to move on from Tannehill, it would require less to trade for him than for others on this list, or to sign him if/when Tennessee released him. The Titans would save $17.8 million (with an $18.8 million dead cap penalty) if they cut/trade him at the start of free agency, and they’d save $27 million post-June 1.
The Athletic’s Joe Rexrode, who covers the Titans, wrote recently that Tannehill is the “overwhelming favorite to return as starting quarterback in 2023.” But the Titans also seem likely to at least explore upgrading the position, either via free agency, trades or the NFL Draft, so Tannehill is far from a lock to return.
Tannehill had an injury-riddled 2022, missing five games due to an ankle injury. When healthy, he’s solid, though his mobility has declined with age. He averaged 272 rushing yards and seven touchdowns from 2019-21, but only rushed for 98 yards and two touchdowns last year. He was middle-of-the-pack in QBR, EPA and PFF rating in 2022, but remains an accurate quarterback. He completed 66.9 percent of his passes in four years with the Titans, and had adjusted completion percentages of 75.2, 77.4, 76.4 and 76.8 percent over those four years, per PFF.
He has the eighth-best EPA per dropback among quarterbacks with at least 1,000 pass attempts since joining the Titans in 2019, per TruMedia, the fourth-best when blitzed and is fourth in yards per attempt. In 2022, he ranked 11th in EPA among QBs when pressured — and 25th with a clean pocket. He also has the ninth-fastest average time to throw (2.59 seconds) in that four-year stretch.
Another positive: The Jets hired Keith Carter as their offensive line coach and run game coordinator after he spent the last five years as the Titans’ offensive line coach. So Tannehill should have a grasp of what the Jets want to accomplish in their rushing attack.
Tannehill had ankle surgery in December, so a key part of his evaluation will be how he’s healed — and if he can still be the same player when he returns. Ultimately, Tannehill would be more of a stopgap than a long-term solution. The fan base might not be thrilled if this is where things land.