The San Diego Padres try to stave off elimination down 3-1 to the Philadelphia Phillies in the NLCS Sunday with first pitch scheduled for 2:37 p.m. ET (FS1).

Game 4 between the Padres and Phillies had an offensive explosion in Philadelphia. 1B Rhys Hoskins had 2 home runs while LF Kyle Schwarber and San Diego 3B Manny Machado each homered as well. The Phillies after the 10-6 win hope to end the best-of-7 NL Championship Series at their home ballpark.

Padres at Phillies projected starters

RHP Yu Darvish vs. RHP Zack Wheeler

Darvish (16-8 3.10 ERA) had a 0.95 WHIP 1.7 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 193 2/3 IP in the regular season. He makes his 4th start of the 2022 postseason.

• Allowed 2 ER on 3 H and 1 BB in 7 IP of Game 1 loss to Philly with 7 K and 2 HR — 1 each by DH Bryce Harper and Schwarber
• 2022 postseason: 2-1 2.84 (19 IP 6 ER) 1.00 WHIP 18 K 6 HR in 3 starts
• Career postseason: 4-6 4.33 (52 IP 25 ER) 1.096 WHIP 1.6 BB/9 8.5 K/9 15 HR in 10 starts

Wheeler (12-7 2.82 ERA) posted a 1.04 WHIP 2.0 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 153 regular-season IP. He’s also making his 4th postseason start of 2022.

• Won Game 1 showdown with Darvish in series opener behind 7 shutout IP with 1 H 1 BB 8 K
• 2022 postseason: 1-1 1.40 (19 1/3 IP 3 ER) 0.52 WHIP 17 K 0 HR in 3 starts
• Career postseason: Same as above — this is his 1st season in playoffs

Padres at Phillies odds

• Moneyline (ML): Padres +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Phillies -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-200) | Phillies -1.5 (+150)
• Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -120 | U: -101)

Padres at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 7 Padres 4

Moneyline

Take the PHILLIES 140) for the win.

The Phillies do not want to travel back to San Diego. They will do everything they can to finish this series Sunday. The ML140) is the right side.

Run line/Against the spread

PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (+150) is the play.

It is going to be a dreary day in Philadelphia Sunday but not at Citizen Bank Park. The Phillies are on an offensive roll now. They hit 4 HR Saturday night in the 10-6 win and they should be able to put up another 1 or 2 Sunday afternoon.

Over/Under

TAKE OVER 6.5 (-120).

Wheeler has an ERA of 2.82 this season while Darvish has an ERA of 3.10. With almost 6 runs expected in this game and with the teams scoring a lot this series I expect another Over to hit. Game 4 had an O/U of 7.5 and got to 16. This one easily gets to the 7 needed.

OVER 6.5 (-120) is my FAVORITE PLAY in this game.