The Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres meet Saturday in game 4 of the MLB NLDS at Petco Park. The Los Angeles Dodgers need a win to save their season and force a game 5 on Sunday. The San Diego Padres look to reach their first NLCS since the 1998 season.

The Los Angeles Dodgers just can’t get their offense going in this series, as they’ve been held to 4 runs in their last 2 games. The Dodgers have lost 13 of their last 15 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Max Muncy leads the Dodgers with 4 hits and 2 RBI, while Trea Turner and Gavin Lux have combined for 7 hits and 3 RBI. Tyler Anderson gets the ball, and he was 15-5 with a 2.57 ERA and 138 strikeouts this season. Anderson is 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA and 6 strikeouts in his postseason career.

The San Diego Padres pitching has been terrific all postseason, as they’ve allowed 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their first 6 games. The Padres have won 18 of their last 21 games when allowing 3 or fewer runs. Trent Grisham leads the Padres with 7 hits and 5 RBI, while Austin Nola and Manny Machado have combined for 13 hits and 8 RBI. Joe Musgrove gets the ball, and he was 10-7 with a 2.93 ERA and 184 strikeouts this season. Musgrove is 2-0 with a 3.95 ERA and 8 strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Dodgers have lost three straight games with Tyler Anderson on the mound, and he’s pitching for the first time in two weeks, so who knows what to expect. Joe Musgrove has been one of the more consistent pitchers in baseball, and that includes allowing 3 hits and 0 runs in his last 13 innings. Musgrove had a 2.86 ERA and .224 allowed batting average at home this season. The Los Angeles Dodgers offense can’t get out of their own way right now. The Dodgers are probably going to be favored, but I have to side with the Padres and their ace at home.