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The San Diego Padres continue their best-of-5 NL Division Series against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch will be at 8:37pm (FS1).
Series: Dodgers lead 1-0; they won regular-season series 14-5
The Dodgers jumped on RHP Mike Clevinger early in Tuesday’s Game 1 thanks to a home run by SS Trea Turner. A 5th inning HR by 1B Wil Myers started a brief Padres rally that kept the game close but once LHP Julio Urias finished the inning L.A. relievers only allowed 3 hits.
Padres at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Yu Darvish vs. LHP Clayton Kershaw
Darvish (1-0 1.29 ERA) makes his 2nd postseason start. He has a 0.86 WHIP 0.0 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 in 7 IP.
- Had 1-2 record with a 2.52 ERA against the Dodgers this season
- Opponent batting average of .227 in Dodger Stadium this year
Kershaw (12-3 2.28 ERA) makes his 1st start of the 2022 postseason. He comes in with a 0.94 WHIP 2.2 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 126 1/3 IP.
- Had .221 batting opponent BA at home versus .191 in away starts
- The Dodgers average 5.65 run in support when Kershaw starts
Padres at Dodgers odds
- Moneyline (ML): Padres +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Dodgers -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-135) | Dodgers -1.5 (+107)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +112 | U: -140)
Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 5 Padres 4
Moneyline
The Padres are 2-9 in Dodger Stadium in 2022 and I expect them to win this game although I’m hesitant to take them at -200. An alternative on Tipico to consider is When Will The Game End? Top of the 9th inning (-135).
Run line/Against the spread
The Padres were 25-13 as a road underdog this season.
And if you look back at 2021 the Dodgers only covered in 5 of their 12 playoff games that year. But the Padres have yet to show they can match these Dodgers. This line seems too juiced to pick the Padres and too good to be true at plus money on the Dodgers. I will PASS.
Over/Under
After the Over hit in Game 1 I expect things to continue for Game 2.
Trends also point to a high-scoring game. The Padres have gone Over in 6 straight road games against a left-handed starter.
The Dodgers hit the Over in their last 4 playoff home games and L.A. is 7-1 in their last 8 home games versus teams with a winning regular-season record.
BET OVER 7.5 (+107)