The San Diego Padres are set to begin a best-of-5 NL Division Series with the Los Angeles Dodgers Tuesday. First pitch is set for 9:37 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium (FS1).

Regular-season series: Dodgers won 14-5

The Padres outscored the New York Mets 16-8 in winning their 3-game NL Wild Card series and are 7-2 in their last 9 road contests.

The Dodgers ran away with the National League West title as they finished 10 games ahead of the Atlanta Braves and Mets for the top seed in the NL. They were 57-24 at home in the regular season.

Padres at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Mike Clevinger vs. LHP Julio Urias

Clevinger (7-7 4.33 ERA) had a 1.20 WHIP 2.8 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 114 1/3 IP in 23 regular-season appearances (22 starts).

• Faced the Dodgers 3 times this year and came away with 14 ER and 5 HR allowed in just 13 IP (9.69 ERA)
• Registered a 5.46 ERA and 6.9 K/9 across 64 1/3 IP over 13 starts and 1 relief appearance on the road

Urias (17-7 2.16 ERA) posted a 0.96 WHIP 2.1 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 175 IP across 31 regular-season starts.

• Allowed just 4 ER in 24 IP across 4 starts against the Padres this season however his K/BB in those games was 18/10 and he was aided by a .194 BABIP
• Recorded a 2.43 ERA in 14 home starts with an 8.2 K/9 and 1.5 HR/9 in 77 2/3 IP

Padres at Dodgers odds

• Moneyline (ML): Padres +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Dodgers -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-115) | Dodgers -1.5 (-105)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -103 | U: -117)

Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6 Padres 3

Moneyline

The Dodgers deserve to be heavily favored both in this game as well as in the series. They have the best record and run differential in the league and the clear pitching edge in this one. However the price here is a little too steep so it’s best to simply PASS and find value elsewhere.

Run line/Against the spread

The Dodgers owned the Padres this season outscoring them 109-47 in 19 meetings with 13 of their 14 wins in the series coming by more than 1 run.

Urias has yielded 2 or fewer runs in 14 straight starts while Clevinger limped to the finish line with a 6.52 ERA over his final 6 turns (2 vs. Los Angeles).

Take the DODGERS -1.5 (-105) or consider a small play at -2.5 (+140).

Over/Under

Clevinger has displayed some soft skills throughout the season and has been knocked around by the high-powered Dodgers offense in 3 previous meetings. Urias has been excellent all year but also a little lucky and shouldn’t be expected to completely shut down the San Diego bats.

The early money has been on the Over which has pushed the total up since it opened. Even so the offenses should do enough to go OVER 7.5 (-103).