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The Miami Dolphins (3-0) travel to meet the Cincinnati Bengals (1-2) for Thursday Night Football at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET (Amazon Prime Video).
The Dolphins had a 3rd consecutive test against an AFC contender last Sunday and they passed with flying colors. After topping the New England Patriots and Baltimore Ravens in the first 2 games the Super Bowl favorite Buffalo Bills came to town. Miami edged Buffalo 21-19 to remain 1 of only 2 unbeaten teams in the NFL.
The Bengals have gotten off to a sluggish start but posted their 1st victory last week against the New York Jets winning 27-12. The Bengals cashed the Under for a 3rd consecutive outing.
Dolphins at Bengals odds
- Money line (ML): Dolphins +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Bengals -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins +4.5 (-115) | Bengals -4.5 (-107)
- Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)
Dolphins at Bengals key injuries
Dolphins
- OT Terron Armstead (toe) questionable
- CB Xavien Howard (groin glute) questionable
- S Brandon Jones (chest) questionable
- QB Tua Tagovailoa (back ankle) questionable
- WR Jaylen Waddle (groin) questionable
- WR Cedrick Wilson (ribs toe) questionable
Bengals
- OT La’El Collins (back) questionable
- LB Germaine Pratt (knee) questionable
- DT D.J. Reader (knee) out
- TE Drew Sample (knee) out
Dolphins at Bengals picks and predictions
Prediction
Bengals 25 Dolphins 19
Money line
The Bengals (-205) have just been too inconsistent to this point to risk more than 2 times your potential return even though Cincinnati likely has the upper hand here with the Dolphins (+170) literally limping into the game with many key injuries.
PASS.
Against the spread
At first glance an unbeaten Dolphins +4.5 (-115) looks like a gift from the sportsbooks. But BENGALS -4.5 (-107) is the play here.
While I don’t mind QB Teddy Bridgewater under center if Tua is unable to go if Waddle were to sit too that’s bad news for the offense. And seeing Howard on the injury report on the defensive side of the ball would allow QB Joe Burrow to pick apart the Dolphins secondary with his cadre of impressive receivers.
This has the look of a breakout performance for Cincinnati getting itself back on track for another playoff run.
Over/Under
The lean is to UNDER 46.5 (-105) here especially if Tua and/or Waddle are inactive.
Prime time games have cashed the Under in 7 of 10 games under the lights already this season and this game appears ‘primed’ to go Under on Prime Video. See what I did there?
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