The Pittsburgh Pirates and San Diego Padres meet Saturday in MLB action at Petco Park. The Pittsburgh Pirates need a win after losing 7 of their last 10 games. The San Diego Padres look for a win after winning 8 of their last 11 games.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have scored 14 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10 games. The Pirates have lost 5 of their last 7 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Ke’Bryan Hayes leads the Pirates with 40 hits and 12 RBI, while Ben Gamel and Bryan Reynolds have combined for 68 hits and 26 RBI. JT Brubaker gets the ball, and he is 0-4 with a 4.64 ERA and 47 strikeouts this season. Brubaker is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Padres.

The San Diego Padres have scored 6 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10 games. The Padres have split their last 8 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Manny Machado leads the Padres with 60 hits and 27 RBI, while Eric Hosmer and Jake Cronenworth have combined for 88 hits and 43 RBI. Joe Musgrove gets the ball, and he is 5-0 with a 1.90 ERA and 51 strikeouts this season. Musgrove is 1-2 with a 4.20 ERA and 16 strikeouts in his career against the Pirates.

The Pirates are 21-55 in their last 76 road games and 2-5 in their last 7 overall. The Padres are 14-6 in their last 20 games as a favorite and 6-2 in their last 8 overall. The under is 7-2-3 in Pirates last 12 overall. The under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 overall. The Pirates are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

JT Brubaker has been respectable this season, but it probably doesn’t matter when you consider the Pirates have scored 3 or fewer runs in 6 of his 9 starts. Joe Musgrove has been one of the best pitchers in baseball through 52 innings, allowing 40 hits and 11 earned runs. Musgrove has a 1.80 ERA and .183 allowed batting average at home. Hard not to like the San Diego Padres here and side with the RL to shave down the expensive ML price.