The Washington Nationals (13-27) and Milwaukee Brewers (25-14) continue a 3-game series at American Family Field Saturday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET.

Season series: Brewers lead 1-0 after a 7-0 shutout Friday.

The Nationals are reeling. They’ve lost 5 straight series. Pitching has been Washington’s primary issue; a 4.99 ERA (28th MLB) has kept the Nats from being competitive.

The Brewers are a robust 13-5 in Cream City. Milwaukee’s pitching has led that home dominance: the Brewers own a 2.47 ERA in their home yard (2nd MLB).

Nationals at Brewers projected starters

LHP Patrick Corbin vs. RHP Brandon Woodruff

Corbin (0-6, 6.28 ERA) is tabbed for his 9th start of the season. He has a 1.68 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 38 2/3 IP.

• Has registered just 3 wins over his last 22 starts.
• Has held current Milwaukee batters to an aggregate .680 OPS.

Woodruff (4-2, 5.35 ERA) owns a 1.37 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 through 33 2/3 IP across 7 starts.

• Logged a 2.56 ERA in 179 1/3 IP last season.
• Has battled through the traffic of a .341 batting average on balls in play.
• Has registered a 2.49 ERA at home since 2020.

Nationals at Brewers odds and lines

• Money line: Nationals +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Brewers -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
• Run line (RL): Nationals +1.5 (-120) | Brewers -1.5 (+100)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Nationals at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Nationals 3

Money line

PASS. Washington is a lukewarm lean, but the juice is drowning out value here.

Run line/Against the spread

The Nats have played a significantly tougher slate so far, and the Brewers have a kind 9-3 mark in 1-run games.

The Brewers are the lean overall, but the price on getting the Nats within 1 run is solid enough.

BACK THE NATIONALS +1.5 (-120).

Over/Under

Milwaukee owns a well-below-average .668 OPS against port-siders. Woodruff is a solid pick to get on a decent roll this summer.

The back ends of both bullpens are in a good shape, and there is some around-the-margins downside to the Brewers’ overall batting production.

BACK THE UNDER 7.5 (-107) but try to wait out a price closer to -102.

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