The New York Yankees (16-6) and Toronto Blue Jays (15-8) clash in a top of the AL East standings series at Rogers Centre. Monday’s opener of the 3-game set is scheduled for a 7:07 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: tied 2-2.
New York is coming off a 3-game sweep at Kansas City, and the Yankees tote a 9-game win streak over the border. A New York offense that came out of the gate slowly has scored 7.44 runs per game during the streak.
The Blue Jays, conversely, were bashing the ball early, but its been their pitching at the fore of a 9-3 mark over the club’s last dozen games. Toronto hurlers own a 3.21 ERA over that stretch.
Yankees at Blue Jays projected starters
LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. RHP Ross Stripling
Montgomery (0-1, 2.70 ERA) has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 20 IP over 4 starts.
- Owns a 1.62 ERA (.509 OPS against) across his last 3 starts.
- Did not face the Jays when New York played Toronto April 11-14. Pitched 10 innings vs. Toronto in 2021 and allowed 7 ER on 10 hits and 6 BB.
Stripling (0-0, 3.60 ERA) has notched a 1.13 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 15 IP across 3 starts and 2 relief appearances.
- Did not face New York in the April series. Allowed 5 ER on 10 H and 4 BB in 10 IP vs. New York in 2021.
Yankees at Blue Jays odds and lines
- Money line: Yankees -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Blue Jays +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
- Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+135) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-170)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
Yankees at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 5, Yankees 4
Money line
Montgomery has benefited by a .224 batting average on balls in play, while Stripling’s start to the 2022 season is more grounded in the support numbers. The Blue Jays right-hander has also pitched exceedingly well in limited action at Rogers Centre (.464 OPS allowed in 9 career games).
Not being a fan of betting against protracted streaks, I’d rather bet the Jays on the run line. This figure is fairer, however. Consider a partial-unit playing backing the BLUE JAYS (+102).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS. You’ll want a tag lower than Jays -160 if you want to take the home side plus the run line.
Over/Under
Leaning into preseason projections, a hot New York offense, a currently undervalued Toronto offense, and a fade-New York-pitching angle in this opener TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (+100).