Cleveland Guardians at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions

Author:
SPORTSBOOKWIRE

The Cleveland Guardians (7-11) and Los Angeles Angels (12-7) close out their 4-game series Thursday at 4:07 p.m. ET at Angel Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Los Angeles leads 3-0 and has outscored Cleveland 16-6.

Cleveland was swept in New York last weekend, and with 3 straight losses to L.A. in this series, has now lost 6 in a row. An offense that bolted quickly from the gate with favorable ball-in-play rates has sputtered over the losing skid. The Guardians have scored 2.17 runs per game on a .558 OPS in the 6 straight losses.

Los Angeles has come on strong with the bats of late. They are 11-4, averaging 5.67 runs per game with a .806 OPS in their last 15 games.

Guardians at Angels projected starters

RHP Cal Quantrill vs. LHP Reid Detmers

Quantrill (1-0, 3.94 ERA) is lined up for start No. 4 this season. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 3.4 K/9 through 16 IP.

  • Has walked 6 batters over 11 IP in his last 2 starts.
  • Clocked a 2.89 ERA in 149 2/3 IP last season.
  • Faced Los Angeles once last season (Aug. 22) and tossed 7 shutout frames, allowing just 2 hits and 2 BB while striking out 9.

Detmers (0-1, 6.57 ERA) makes his fourth start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 12 1/3 IP.

  • Roughed up by Cleveland in a start last Aug. 21: 3R on 10 base runners in 3 2/3 IP.
  • Notched a 7.40 ERA in 20 2/3 IP in 2021.

Guardians at Angels odds and lines

  • Money line: Guardians +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Angels -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-165) | Angels -1.5 (+133)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Guardians at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Angels 6, Guardians 4

Money line

Quantrill has skated by on a .220 batting average on balls in play so far. The Angels are a lean, but the best value — even with the added risk of seeking a multi-run win — can be found on the run line. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Three games into this series, the Los Angeles bullpen is still in decent shape. Quantrill is pretty solidly in the fade-for-a-while category. Detmers is a prospect that had a good spring and one that figures to have upside not showing in his surface numbers.

The fade-Cleveland’s-offense luster has mostly worn off, but there is just enough leverage in the ANGELS -1.5 (+133) line to warrant a partial-unit play.

Over/Under

The road-weary Guardians finally cobbled together some offense Wednesday night. They had 5R and 11H in the loss.

With this pitching match-up and a (forecasted) breeze-blowing-out day game, an evenly priced Over 8.5 would be worth a play Thursday. PASS on this tag, but keep an eye on the line.

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