The Los Angeles Dodgers (10-3) seek a road series win Saturday against the San Diego Padres (9-6). First pitch is 8:40 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The Dodgers took the series opener 6-1 Friday in the NL West division rivals’ first meeting of the year.
The Dodgers have won nine of their last 10 games. Despite having the highest winning percentage in all of baseball, they only have a 1.5-game lead in the NL West over the Colorado Rockies and San Francisco Giants.
The Padres had their four-game win streak snapped Friday. They are in fourth place in the division but only trail the Dodgers by 2 games.
Dodgers at Padres projected starters
LHP Tyler Anderson vs. RHP Yu Darvish
Anderson (1-0, 2.25 ERA) makes his first start and third appearance of the season. He has allowed 2 ER on 4 H with 8 K through 8 IP.
- Posted identical stat lines in each of his two relief appearances going 4 innings with 1 ER, 2 H and 4 K.
- Is 4-3 with a 2.54 ERA in 63 2/3 innings across 10 starts and 1 relief appearance versus the Padres in his career.
Darvish (1-1, 6.28 ERA) makes his fourth start. He has allowed 10 ER on 12 H and 6 BB with 13 K in 14 1/3 IP.
- Allowed 9 ER in 1 2/3 IP in his second start of the season at the San Francisco Giants but otherwise has allowed just 1 ER across 12 2/3 IP.
- Is 2-3 with a 2.43 ERA over 37 innings in six career starts against the Dodgers.
Dodgers at Padres odds and lines
- Money line (ML): Dodgers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Padres +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+135) | Padres +1.5 (-170)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)
Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 4, Dodgers 2
Money line
Looking at Darvish’s stat line, you would think he has struggled this season. It was one awful start. He has been dominant in his other appearances. His ERA outside the one disastrous start is 0.71.
Anderson has pitched well out of the bullpen and has done well in his career against the Padres.
The Padres did lose two in a row at home, but I expect them to bounce back in a matchup with strong pitching.
Take PADRES (+100).
Run line/Against the spread
Every single one of the Dodgers’ 10 wins this season has been by at least 2 runs.
The Padres have been underdogs in only four previous games and are 2-2 ATS in those games.
I like the Padres to win, so the money line is the better value. The run line is almost a little too pricy, but if you aren’t all in on an outright win, you can take the PADRES +1.5 (-170).
Over/Under
Darvish’s two good starts were both games with 6 or fewer runs.
Six of the last seven games for the Padres have had 7 or fewer runs.
With two pitchers who have been effective in their outings, you can’t expect a lot of scoring.
Take UNDER 7.5 (-102).
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