The Cincinnati Reds (2-5) face the Los Angeles Dodgers (4-2) Friday for the second game of a four-game series at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The Reds come into this game on a three-game losing skid after being swept in a two-game interleague series with the Cleveland Guardians midweek and losing the opener to the Dodgers Thursday. Cincinnati won two of its four games against the Atlanta Braves to kick the season off but has lost its last three games by a combined score of 26-11.
The Dodgers have won three straight contests and are looking dominant, having won all three games by 5 or more runs. They’ve outscored their opponent 23-5 over that span.
Reds at Dodgers: Projected starters
RHP Vladimir Gutierrez vs. RHP Tony Gonsolin
Gutierrez (0-1, 4.15 ERA) makes his second start of the season. He allowed 2 ER on 6 H and 2 BB with 4 K across 4 1/3 IP in his debut against the Atlanta Braves Saturday.
- Was 9-6 with a 4.74 ERA last season with a 6.9 K/9.
- Was 1-1 in spring training with 9 earned runs across 9 1/3 innings pitched.
Gonsolin (0-0, 3.00 ERA) makes his second start. He held the Colorado Rockies to 1 ER on 5 H and 1 BB with 3 K through 3 IP in his debut on the road Saturday.
- Went 0-0 in spring training with a 6.75 ERA across two starts and one relief appearance.
- Was 4-1 with a 3.23 ERA through 55 2/3 innings in 13 starts and two relief appearances in 2021.
Reds at Dodgers odds and lines
- Money line (ML): Reds +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Dddgers -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (+102) | Dodgers -1.5 (-125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)
Reds at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 7, Reds 4
Money line
PASS.
The Dodgers (-260) will cost you more than two and a half times your potential return, and that’s just not worth it. Even the run line poses an interesting value for arguably the league’s best team.
Run line/Against the spread
LEAN to the DODGERS -1.5 (-125).
The score was knotted at 3 prior to the Dodgers’ 8th-inning explosion in Thursday’s series opener.
Cincinnati may not have the same fortune with Gutierrez on the mound. He allowed 4.82 runs per 9 innings last season when factoring in unearned runs, and had a 1.9 WAR. Gutierrez also had an 8.68 ERA in spring training.
The Dodgers have scored 7 or more runs in three straight games and are heating up. Los Angeles is 1-0 at home and has covered a 1.5-run spread in four of its six games. The Reds are 3-4 on the run line and have lost their last three outings by a combined 15 runs.
Over/Under
LEAN to the OVER 9.5 (+105).
The Dodgers have been red hot lately with 23 runs scored in their last three games. Both starting pitchers had over a 6 ERA in spring training, so they may not be coming in with much confidence.
These teams also rank sixth (Dodgers) and ninth (Reds) in runs this season. Considering the pitchers taking the mound and how solid both teams have been at crossing the plate this season, the OVER 9.5 (+105) is the better play.
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