The Toronto Maple Leafs and Washington Capitals meet Monday in NHL action at the Capital One Arena. The Toronto Maple Leafs look for a win after splitting their last 10 games. The Washington Capitals look for a win after splitting their last 10 games.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.5 goals per game and are scoring on 30 percent of their power play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 37 goals, Morgan Rielly has 37 assists and William Nylander has 173 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.8 goals per game and are killing 84.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jack Campbell has given up 92 goals on 1,114 shots faced, and Petr Mrazek has allowed 33 goals on 310 shots.

The Washington Capitals are averaging 3.2 goals per game and are scoring on 15.7 percent of their power play opportunities. Alex Ovechkin leads Washington with 32 goals, Evgeny Kuznetsov has 35 assists and John Carlson has 124 shots on goal. Defensively, the Washington Capitals are allowing 2.8 goals per game and are killing 79.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Vitek Vanecek has given up 52 goals on 610 shots faced, and IIya Samsonov has allowed 80 goals on 831 shots.

The Maple Leafs are 37-17 in their last 54 games as a favorite and 32-13 in their last 45 overall. The Capitals are 8-17 in their last 25 Monday games and 0-5 in their last 5 home games. The over is 21-7-2 in Maple Leafs last 30 overall. The under is 4-1 in Capitals last 5 overall. The Maple Leafs are 7-19 in the last 26 meetings in Washington and 6-16 in the last 22 meetings.

The Washington Capitals are looking shaky at best these last couple of weeks, and a lot of their recent struggles have come at home. The Toronto Maple Leafs are the better team at the moment, and they’ve been money in the favorite role. With that said, we’re getting the Caps in a rare home favorite role, and we’re also fading the public here, as this line has moved a ton. There’s value with the Capitals here. I’ll take it.