NCAAF SEC Championship Game: #1 Georgia at #3 Alabama Betting Analysis

Once again, the Georgia Bulldogs and Alabama Crimson Tide dance for the SEC Championship. Saturday’s SEC title game between the Bulldogs and Crimson Tide will have serious College Football Playoff repercussions. UGA will make the CFP even if they lose. But Bama must win to secure their playoff spot. Which SEC power gets it done? See below for NCAAF odds, analysis, and a free pick for Georgia versus Alabama. 

College Football Betting – Georgia Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide

#1 Georgia at #3 Alabama Game Odds & Info

  • When: Saturday, Dec. 4 at 4:00 pm ET 
  • Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
  • TV / Streaming: CBS / Paramount +
  • ATS Odds: Georgia -7  
  • Moneyline Odds: Georgia -245 / Alabama +195
  • Over/Under Odds: 50 ½     

Why bet on Georgia versus Alabama?

The top team in the nation also has the top defense in the nation. Opponents average an unbelievably low 6.9 per game versus the Dawgs’ D. Georgia allows just 230.9 total yards per game. The Bulldogs give up just 79.4 rushing yards each contest. Alabama is good, but the Crimson Tide has yet to face a defense as dominant as Georgia’s.  

Georgia Bulldogs Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 442.3
  • Passing Yards: 240.3
  • Rushing Yards: 202.0
  • Points Scored: 40.7
  • Turnovers: 4

Georgia Bulldogs Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 230.9
  • Passing Yards: 151.5
  • Rushing Yards: 79.4
  • Points Scored: 6.9
  • Takeaways: 12

Why bet on Alabama versus Georgia?

Alabama’s offense can’t be stopped. The Crimson Tide average 491.6 yards per game, ranking seventh in the nation. Bama quarterback Bryce Young throws for 341.8 yards each contest, which also ranks seventh. The Tide is the fifth highest scoring team in the country, averaging 42.7 per game. 

Alabama Crimson Tide Offensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 491.6
  • Passing Yards: 341.8
  • Rushing Yards: 149.8
  • Points Scored: 42.7
  • Turnovers: 7

Alabama Crimson Tide Defensive Averages

  • Total Yards: 292.5
  • Passing Yards: 213.5
  • Rushing Yards: 79.0
  • Points Scored: 19.9
  • Takeaways: 13

Relevant Trends for #1 Georgia Bulldogs versus #3 Alabama Crimson Tide

  • Bulldogs are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 at a neutral site
  • Georgia is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games
  • Under is 5-1 in the Bulldogs last 6 conference games
  • Crimson Tide is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS loss
  • Alabama is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after accumulating less than 100 rushing yards in their previous game
  • Under is 4-1-1 in the Crimson Tide’s last 6 at a neutral site

#1 Georgia versus #3 Alabama Final Betting Prediction

On paper it looks like Georgia easily wins this matchup. But visually, Alabama is the more impressive team. 

Even though Bama seemed to struggle against bad teams, and Nick Saban’s team did lose to Texas A&M, the Crimson Tide sends the best offense to the field the Bulldogs have faced this season. 

Georgia shut out a bad Clemson team in Week 1. Since then, they’ve coasted against overmatched squads. The best team Georgia faced, Arkansas, happened on Oct. 2. Although the Bulldogs dominated the Razorbacks, it was obvious that Arkansas wasn’t mentally prepared to take on UGA in Athens.

Tennessee, Florida, Auburn, nobody Georgia has faced can move the ball like Alabama. Not only does that give Saban’s crew an edge, but it will also lead to UGA playing catch up, which brings us to the other reason to like the Bama moneyline.

UGA quarterback Stetson Bennett completes just 60% of his passes. Georgia averages just 240.3 passing yards per contest. 

The Crimson Tide allow less than 80 yards per game. So once Kirby Smart must turn to Bennett, this game could be over. Bama wins.  

NCAAF SEC Championship Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide moneyline

 


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