Formula 1 Italian Grand Prix Odds Favorites, Betting Analysis and Picks

My Bookie

It is only a matter of time before Max Verstappen clinches his 3rd straight Formula 1 Championship, and while this season is essentially a foregone conclusion, the question is about how long his dominance will continue. Teams are already starting to make moves in planning for the future, with Mercedes inking new deals with Lewis Hamilton and George Russell. They are proof that dominance can indeed come to an end, with Mercedes unable to deliver a car that can compete with Red Bull Racing, who have swept every race to this point in the season. Only time will tell how things will play out in the coming years, so all we can do is focus on the next race up, which is the Italian Grand Prix. This race will take place on Sunday, with Verstappen looking to keep an incredible win streak alive. Let’s take a look at the current F1 odds for the 2023 Italian Grand Prix.

Formula 1 Picks and Analysis: Italian Grand Prix 2023 | F1 Odds and Lines by MyBookie Sportsbook

When: Sunday, September 3 at 8:55 am ET
Where: Autodromo Nacional de Monza
TV / Streaming: ESPN, ESPN+

Max Verstappen

NASCAR Betting Pick: -460

The odds tell you all you need to know here, as he is once again the clear favorite to win on Sunday. Verstappen has now won each of the last 9 races on the Formula 1 schedule, and you have to say that it almost seems foolish to bet against him at this point. In fact, he has won all but 2 races this season, finishing 2nd in the 2 that he failed to win. That is a level of dominance that is unmatched, so you have to believe that it would need to be an error, which seems unlikely, or a crash that stops him winning again this weekend. Verstappen won in Italy last year and looks set to repeat.

Sergio Perez

NASCAR Betting Pick: +880

As we mentioned earlier, it has been a clean sweep for Red Bull Racing this season, with Perez winning the 2 races that Verstappen failed to win. This team is head and shoulders above the rest at the moment, but can they carry on winning and prevent any other team or driver from breaking up their run? Besides his wins, Perez has been on the podium 5 other times, so he is certainly in the conversation for another podium finish, although he did finish outside the top 5 in his last 2 runs in Italy, so might that open the door for another driver?

Other Drivers to Consider

If we are to assume that Verstappen is about to put up another win, then who else will be on the podium when all is said and done? Former champions Fernando Alonso (+1925) has rolled the clock back a little this season, and while he has not won a race in 2023, he has been a consistent podium finisher, landing in the top 3 in 7 different races, so he seems like a decent podium bet. Lewis Hamilton (+1950) is fresh off of signing a new contract to stay with Mercedes for the next few years, so can he celebrate that with a strong showing this weekend? He has had 3 straight races outside the top 3, plus he has not been great in Italy over the past couple of seasons, but he still might be worth risking a top 3 wager on.

Driver Standings
1 Max Verstappen 339 points Red Bull
2 Sergio Perez 201 points Red Bull
3 Fernando Alonso 168 points Aston Martin
4 Lewis Hamilton 156 points Mercedes
5 Carlos Sainz 102 points Ferrari
Teams Standings
1 Red Bull 540 points
2 Mercedes 255 points
3 Aston Martin 215 points
4 Ferrari 201 points
5 McLaren Mercedes 111 points

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