The New York Mets (25-24) and Chicago Cubs (21-26) will play the 2nd game of their 3-game series on Wednesday at Wrigley Field. First pitch will be at 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Cubs lead 1-0 after beating the Mets 7-2 on Tuesday
After going 3-10 during a recent 13-game stretch the Mets have gotten back on track a bit. They’re 5-1 in their last 6 games with their 5-game winning streak being snapped by the Cubs on Tuesday. The pitching staff has been a major disappointment this season ranking 24th in team ERA (4.70) while the offense has only scored 209 runs – tied for 18th.
In the Cubs’ last 25 games they’ve only won 8 times a stretch that has pulled them 5 games below .500 on the year. Statistically they’re an above-average team scoring the 12th-most runs (227) and ranking 13th in team ERA (4.12) with the 6th-most quality starts (23).
New York Mets at Chicago Cubs projected starters
RHP Kodai Senga vs. RHP Marcus Stroman
Senga (4-2 3.77 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP 5.4 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 43 innings.
- Allowed just 1 ER in 6 IP in his last start May 17 against the Tampa Bay Rays striking out a career-high 12 batters
- In the month of May he has an ERA of just 3.18 with 23 strikeouts in 17 innings
Stroman (3-4 3.05 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP 3.4 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 56 innings.
- The Cubs are just 1-5 in his last 6 starts though they did win his most recent outing 10-1 over the Philadelphia Phillies last week
- Averaging a career-best 8.2 strikeouts per 9 innings this season
Mets at Cubs odds
Provided by BetMGM SportsbookUSA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Cubs -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+170) | Cubs +1.5 (-210)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Mets at Cubs picks and predictions
Mets 5 Cubs 4
Despite their win on Tuesday the Cubs are in a rut right now. The pitching staff has allowed at least 6 runs in 6 of their last 9 games which is a big reason for their 2-7 record in that span.
With Senga coming off a dominant performance against the Rays a week ago I like the Mets’ chances to bounce back on the road BET METS (-105) to win outright at Wrigley.
Run line/Against the spread
The Mets have won 5 of their last 6 games but none of those have been won comfortably. Each of those 5 wins came by exactly 1 run and only 1 of their last 9 victories have been by more than 1 run.
Though I favor the Mets in this matchup I don’t like them enough to bet them -1.5 on the run line and taking the Cubs +1.5 at -210 isn’t worth the risk PASS on the run line.
The 9 total pushed Tuesday and the Over/Under is significantly lower Wednesday lower than any of the Mets’ and Cubs’ last 10 games this season.
Stroman has allowed at least 5 runs in 2 of his last 6 starts and Senga has had 3 outings with at least 4 runs allowed in his last 6 so they’re susceptible to poor outings BET OVER 6.5 (-120).
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