Marlins vs. Nationals Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 5/16/23

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The Washington Nationals and the Miami Marlins meet in an NL East division matchup in MLB action from LoanDepot Park on Tuesday.

Odds

Miami is listed as a -145 home favorite while Washington is a +125 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 7.5 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Josiah Gray will start for Washington is 3-5 with a 2.96 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. Miami will start Jesus Luzardo here and he is 3-2 with a 3.38 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season.

Matchup History

Washington’s 6-1 win over Miami on September 25th, 2022, snapped the Marlins’ three-game head-to-head win streak in this matchup.

Trends

Washington is 26-61 in their last 87 games following a win and 19-60 in their last 79 division games while the over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games against a team with a left-handed starter. Miami is 1-5 in their last 6 home games and 15-38 in their last 53 division games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 series-opening games.

Pick

I’m rolling with the under here. I think this has all of the makings and potential to be a bona fide pitcher’s duel with both Luzardo and Gray pitching really well right now and I’m not sure I can trust either offense here to do a whole lot to push this total too high. This feels like a first to 3 or maybe first to 4 wins kind of game, so give me the under here.

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