Ottawa Senators at Dallas Stars odds, picks and predictions

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SPORTSBOOKWIRE

The Ottawa Senators (10-14-1) and Dallas Stars (14-7-5) meet Thursday at American Airlines Center in Dallas. Puck drop is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+).  The Senators were piped 5-2 at home by the Los Angeles Kings Tuesday, snapping a modest 2-game win streak. Despite the lopsided loss, Ottawa is still a respectable 4-2 in the last 6 games, including 3-1 in the last 4 against Western Conference clubs.

The Stars were paddled at home by the Toronto Maple Leafs Tuesday, getting shut out by Matt Murray and the visitors 4-0. Dallas has been feast or famine from an offensive perspective, going for 4 or more goals in 5 of the last 7 games, while posting 1 or no goals in the other 2 outings.

  • Moneyline (ML): Senators +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Stars -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Senators +1.5 (-150) | Stars -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Senators at Stars projected goalies

Cam Talbot (4-7-0, 2.83 GAA, .907 SV%) vs. Jake Oettinger (9-3-3, 2.54 GAA, .916 SV%, 2 SO)

Talbot was pounded for 5 goals on just 14 shots before getting pulled midway through the 2nd period on Tuesday against the visiting Kings. The goal total matched his season-worst effort Nov. 8 at home against the Vancouver Canucks.

On the road, Talbot is 4-2-0 with a 2.19 GAA and .928 SV% in 6 starts, as opposed to 0-5-0 with a 3.48 GAA and .888 SV% in 5 home outings.

Oettinger was on the short end of a 4-0 loss to the Maple Leafs last time out, allowing 3 goals on 28 shots. He has allowed 7 goals on 44 shots since a 31-save shutout against the Anaheim Ducks to open the month last Thursday.

Prediction

Stars 3, Senators 1

Moneyline

The Stars (-190) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, and that’s too much risk for not enough reward. Even though Oettinger is solid at home, there is a lot of risk based on Talbot’s crazy road splits, too.

AVOID, and look to the puck line instead.

Puck line/Against the spread

The STARS -1.5 (+125) are worth playing on a half-unit bet. In all 14 of its wins this season, Dallas has won by 2 or more goals. So if you like the Stars to win, you should like them to cover the puck line, too.

Over/Under

UNDER 6.5(-105) is a strong play in this final game of the NHL evening.

The Under has dominated for the Sens lately, going 10-2 in the last 12 games overall, and 6-0 in the last 6 games on the road. The Under is also 13-6-1 in the last 20 games against teams with a winning record, too.

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