Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

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The Colorado Rockies (46-60) take on the San Diego Padres (60-46) Wednesday in the 4th game of a 5-game set at Petco Park. First pitch is set for 9:40 p.m. ET.

Season series: Rockies lead 8-6

The Rockies have lost 5 in a row and 6 of 7. The Rockies were pounded 13-5 in the 1st game of a doubleheader Tuesday and lost 3-2 in walkoff fashion in the nightcap. Colorado is 16-33 away from Coors Field and 21-21 against a left-handed pitcher, which they’ll face Wednesday.

The Padres have won 4 in a row, including the first 3 in this series. OF Trent Grisham hit a walkoff homer to give the Padres and newly acquired LHP Josh Hader his 1st win. The Friars made the biggest splash at the Tuesday trade deadline acquiring OF Juan Soto, 1B Josh Bell and 3B Brandon Drury. It’s unknown if any will arrive in time to suit up Wednesday.

Rockies at Padres projected starters

RHP Chad Kuhl vs. LHP Blake Snell

Kuhl (6-6, 4.59 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 98 IP.

  • Doesn’t pitch as well on the road with a 5.03 ERA, 1.68 WHIP vs. 4.17 ERA, 1.31 WHIP at home
  • Was lit up for 5 ER on 8 H and 5 BB while striking out 1 in 4 1/3 innings at Petco Park June 10

Snell (3-5, 4.43 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 5.0 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 61 IP.

  • Slightly better at home with a 4.09 ERA, 1.24 WHIP vs. 4.82 ERA and 1.57 WHIP on the road
  • Has allowed 19 ER in 23 2/3 IP in his last 5 starts vs. Colorado, but only 3 ER in 12 IP at Petco.

Rockies at Padres odds and lines

  • Money line (ML): Rockies +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Padres -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +2.5 (-130) | Padres -2.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

Rockies at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Rockies 3

Money line

San Diego has a lot of moving parts right now that need to gel. Snell’s numbers at home are way higher than someone of his caliber should be at the spacious Petco. The law of averages says Colorado could steal this one. I’m not bullish enough on them to pick them outright, but let’s look to the spread PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

We get it, the Padres loaded up, but the spread is for them to win by 3 after they just won 3-2 Tuesday night? Colorado is 2-5 in San Diego this year, but 2 of those losses were just 1 run. The Padres are 18-34 on the RL at home this season. The Rockies keep it within striking distance. Take the ROCKIES +2.5 (-130).

Over/Under

Five of the 7 games in Petco between these teams have gone Under this number. Colorado has gone Under in 5 of 6. San Diego has gone Under in 3 of 4. Let’s LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-125).

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